Week 12 of the NFL season begins with a trio of game on Thanksgiving, including an opening game at 12:30 pm ET on FOX featuring the Buffalo Bills and Detroit Lions. The Lions, of course, are no strangers to playing on Thanksgiving Day. Will their experience help them keep it close against the high-powered Bills?
Our NFL expert Clevta has a best bet for the showdown.
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Clevta’s Buffalo Bills vs Detroit Lions best bet: Lions +9 (-110)
If this game was taking place a few weeks ago, I probably would shy away from the Lions. But ever since that game at the Jets, Josh Allen just doesn't look the same and making the Bills mere mortals. In the last 3 games, Allen is 16th in completion percentage over expected and 17th in EPA per drop back out of 29 QBs. There is something that is just a bit off for that offense. It's still obviously very good but I think as bad as the Lions defense has played, they should be able to get off the field just enough to cover this game. In fact, this Lions’ defense has held 3 straight opposing QBs to post drop back EPA numbers below their season average.