The top-seeded South Carolina Gamecocks look to stay perfect against the third-seeded NC State Wolfpack in the women's Final Four on Friday in the 2024 NCAA Tournament, as we offer our best NC State vs. South Carolina prediction and expert pick based on the top Final Four odds.
We're diving into the women's NCAA Tournament Final Four matchups, and both games showcase a No. 1 vs. No. 3 seed. First up on Friday, we've got the No. 1 South Carolina Gamecocks (36-0) taking on the No. 3 NC State Wolfpack (31-6) at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN.
According to our best sports betting sites, this one has a pretty big gap. South Carolina is coming in hot as an 11.5-point favorite over NC State, sitting at -800 on the moneyline, which basically means there's an 88.9% chance they'll keep their winning streak alive ahead of the national championship game.
Along with our UConn vs . Iowa prediction, here is our best NC State vs. South Carolina prediction and expert pick (odds via our best March Madness betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
NC State (3) vs. South Carolina (1) game info
- When: Friday, April 5
- Tip-off: 7 p.m. ET
- Where: Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse in Cleveland, Ohio
- How to watch: ESPN
- Favorite: South Carolina -11.5 (-110 via BetMGM)
NC State vs. South Carolina odds
| Teams | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| South Carolina | -800 | -11.5 (-110) | Over: 139.5 |
| NC State | +550 | +11.5 (-110) | Under: 139.5 |
NC State vs. South Carolina prediction
Best odds: -105 via bet365
There's no downplaying the dominance of South Carolina, which has now won 78 of its last 79 games ahead of this year's Final Four. But the Gamecocks have quietly been tested against top competition this season.
After two blowout wins to open March Madness, Dawn Staley's group beat Indiana and Oregon State by a combined 16 points to win the Albany 1 Regional, which came after an uninspiring run in the SEC Tournament. In fact, six of South Carolina's last seven wins over ranked opponents have come by 12 or fewer points with five decided by single digits.
NC State, which ranks 11th by the final AP Poll, has emerged as a legitimate force this season behind the play of budding star Aziaha James – who dropped 27 points on top-seeded Texas in the Elite Eight after scoring 29 points against Stanford in the Sweet 16. She hit seven threes in her last outing, which feels like the ideal way to attack this big-heavy South Carolina lineup.
I'd be as surprised as anyone else if the Wolfpack pull off the outright upset (+710 via FanDuel), but Wes Moore's club has the talent and confidence to hang with the Gamecocks for 40 minutes on Friday.
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NC State vs. South Carolina spread & Over/Under analysis
South Carolina enters the Final Four as an 11.5-point favorite across our best sports betting apps to beat NC State, which has already won twice outright as an underdog in the last two rounds of the NCAA Tournament to reach Friday's semifinals.
Our best live betting sites have the total for this game between 139 and 139.5, which feels a tick low for a matchup with as much offensive firepower as this one. This may come down to whether the Wolfpack's bigs can generate offense down low against the best defense in the country.
NC State-South Carolina prediction made Wednesday at 5:15 p.m. ET
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