With baseball and the Elite 8 taking center stage, the NBA will take a backseat and have just a 3-game slate on Saturday. However, I’ve assessed the lines on tonight’s NBA action and have found a player prop bet with value. Let’s dive into my favorite NBA player prop bet today, while you can also check out our NBA picks for today’s action.
Franz Wagner, ORL, Over 17.5 points (-120)
Backing an over of a player on a team playing on the second leg of back-to-back and 13-point favorites is not my forte. But Franz Wagner has an excellent opportunity to smash his points line of 17.5 on Saturday against the Memphis Grizzles.
Playing his best ball on a back-to-back is nothing new for Wagner. He’s averaging 21.2 points in 12 games on the second leg. That includes surpassing 17 points in 7 of 11 games with Paolo Banchero active. Jalen Suggs has seen his usage rise lately, taking some field goal attempts from Wagner. During the season, Wagner has attempted over 15 shots per game, but in the last 10 games, that has dropped to 13 – a slight concern.