We're focused on scoring props for Wednesday's eight-game slate, and our NBA player props and best bets are based on the best NBA odds.
We've reached the mid-point of the week, and the Association has gifted us with eight quality matchups for Wednesday's slate.
We're focused on points props tonight, and three of our four bets have the most favorable odds at FanDuel, at which we can often get an extra point or rebound for longer odds without sacrificing confidence in the prop cashing.
Tyrese Haliburton will look to get back on track when his Indiana Pacers travel north to face the Detroit Pistons.
Meanwhile, Gary Trent Jr. should be the Toronto Raptors' go-to option on offense against the Sacramento Kings.
Jaylen Brown has been on a scoring tear since the All-Star break, and he'll look to keep it up when the Boston Celtics face the Milwaukee Bucks.
Finally, our picks cap off with dominant rebounder Jusuf Nurkic and the Phoenix Suns hosting the shorthanded Philadelphia 76ers.
Here are our NBA player props and best bets for Saturday (NBA picks based on odds via our best NBA betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Wednesday's NBA best bets
- Tyrese Haliburton Over 19.5 points vs. Pistons (-111 via FanDuel) ???
- Gary Trent Jr. Over 20.5 points vs. Kings (-104 via FanDuel) ????
- Jaylen Brown Over 24.5 points vs. Bucks (-104 via FanDuel) ????
- Jusuf Nurkic Over 11.5 rebounds vs. 76ers (-115 via bet365) ????
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Wednesday's NBA schedule and odds
(Odds via DraftKings)
- Heat vs. Cavaliers | Spread: Cavaliers -2 | Total: 202.5
- Pacers vs. Pistons | Spread: Pacers -9 | Total: 232.5
- Bucks vs. Celtics | Spread: Celtics -9 | Total: 224
- Kings vs. Raptors | Spread: Kings -11 | Total: 231
- Jazz vs. Thunder | Spread: Thunder -15 | Total: 230.5
- Grizzlies vs. Warriors | Spread: Warriors -10 | Total: 218
- Clippers vs. Trail Blazers | Spread: Clippers -11.5 | Total: 216
- 76ers vs. Suns | Spread: Suns -8 | Total: 220
Wednesday's NBA player props
Tyrese Haliburton is in the midst of one of the worst slumps of his career, and he's talked openly about his desire to play better, his personal accountability, and even finding the silver lining in tough times.
He's aware that he's got to play better to keep his team in the win column and the playoff picture in the East, and Wednesday's matchup with Detroit is an excellent get-right spot for him.
Detroit allows the fifth-most points to opponents this season, and Haliburton has averaged 21.7 points and four 3-pointers in three matchups with the Central Division rival this season. He hit the Over in two of them.
On the season, Haliburton is averaging 21.2 points and 3.2 threes on the road compared to 19.8 and 2.5 at home. Over his last seven games, he's posted 17.9 points and 1.6 triples while struggling to hit 20% of his long-range attempts.
The Pistons have allowed the eighth-most triples to opponents over their last three with 13.7. That includes 22 triples on 44.8% shooting to the Celtics in their last game.
Haliburton has hit the Over on this line only twice in his last seven, but the implied probability of these odds is 52.6% based on Haliburton's season-long performance and favorable matchup.
Toronto will be without RJ Barrett, Immanuel Quickley, and Scottie Barnes, so someone's got to score for Toronto, right? Over his last four, Trent has averaged 24.8 points and 4.3 threes.
Sacramento offers a great matchup for opposing 3-point shooters, but Trent's 3-pointers line is far too juiced across our best sports betting sites. Instead, we'll turn to his points.
Trent's points prop is set at 19.5 across most of our best sports betting apps with a little less juice, but FanDuel's lines are often slightly higher with longer odds, which is where we'll make this wager.
On the season, Sacramento allows the 13th-most 3-pointers to opponents, which is great for a player like Trent, who has attempted 52.7% of his total shot attempts from beyond the arc in his career.
To add some extra intrigue to this prop, the Kings allow the second-highest 3-point percentage at a whopping 39.2%.
Trent has hit the Over in three of his last four, and with all of the team's top scoring options unavailable, he should command a hefty offensive workload.
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Brown has been feeling it since the All-Star break, averaging 29.1 points and 2.8 triples on 54.1% shooting. He's hit the Over on this prop in nine of his last 11 games, so we're going back to the well here. This line is set at 23.5 across most of our best sportsbooks for odds of -120 or shorter. We can get it for just a point more at FanDuel with a lot less juice.
Milwaukee allows the 10th-most points to opponents this season, and Brown scored 26 when he faced them at home on Nov. 22. The Bucks allow the 11th-fewest triples (12.6), but over their last three, they've allowed the third-most at 16.3.
Brown has hit the Over on this prop in 28 of 61 games on the season, but he's on a heater, and we're confident he can take advantage of this favorable matchup.
We're getting an implied probability of 50.9% based on the -104 odds, but Brown has gone Over in 82.8% of his appearances since the break. That's phenomenal value.
Nurkic is enjoying a renaissance in his first season with Phoenix, pulling down the second-most boards of his career at 11 per game. That includes 11.6 at home, where he'll be playing tonight.
Without Joel Embiid, the 76ers have struggled to get consistent play from the center position, and Nurkic should be able to take advantage of this favorable matchup. On the season, Philly allows the ninth-most rebounds to opponents.
Nurkic has been a beast since the All-Star break, averaging 15.3 boards across 11 contests. He's grabbed at least 12 rebounds in eight of those games, eclipsing 20 rebounds four times.
The -115 odds for this prop offer an implied probability of 53.5%, but Nurkic has hit the Over in 72.7% of games since the break. This one feels like easy money for a guy who's dominating, playing at home, and facing a team with a depleted frontcourt lineup.
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NBA best bets made Wednesday at 7:20 a.m. ET
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