Can Ice Trae pull off a Game 6 victory against the Boston Celtics? Sportsbook Review betting analyst Jon Metler shares his top NBA player props and best bets for Thursday's NBA playoff schedule using the best NBA odds.
We almost nailed a sweep with our NBA best bets on Wednesday, going 3-1 with our picks and winning 1.81 units. The only bummer was our loss on Jimmy Butler's points prop, as he showed up big time against the Milwaukee Bucks (AGAIN) by dropping 42 points.
Thursday's schedule is light, with only one game on the agenda – Atlanta Hawks vs. Boston Celtics in Game 6. Since there aren't many NBA prop bets available as of Thursday morning, it might be tricky to navigate the market. However, don't panic because there are still profitable opportunities out there.
Here are our top NBA play er props and best bets for Thursday (odds via our best NBA betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Thursday's NBA schedule and odds
(Odds via FanDuel)
- Boston Celtics (-6.5) vs. Atlanta Hawks
Thursday's NBA best bets
- Player prop: Malcolm Brogdon Over 3.5 assists vs. Hawks (+100 via FanDuel) ????
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Thursday's NBA player prop picks
I lean toward the Over with all of Malcolm Brogdon's player props on Thursday. However, I believe that his assist total is the most valuable when comparing his projections with the juice and the totals. B rogdon has recorded eight and five assists in games in this series, and we haven't seen a significant adjustment to his odds. Brogdon's total was commonly set at 2.5 and 3.5 throughout the regular season, with the latter usually trading at plus money.
Brogdon is projected to have 4.1 assists on Thursday. Therefore, we can price the Over 3.5 assists at -140, and this bet is showing a positive expected value of 17%.
Given that there's only one game on Thursday's schedule, any slightly mispriced props are likely to see early movement and not go unnoticed. Brogdon is currently trading at -110 via BetRivers and -106 via Caesars. Hence, I recommend taking the even-money price at FanDuel quickly before it moves.
Check out our NBA Finals odds and NBA Finals MVP odds.
NBA best bets made 04/27/2023 at 5 a.m. ET.
Here are our best NBA betting sites:
- FanDuel: Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets | Read our FanDuel Review
- Caesars: Earn Up to a $1,250 Bet Credit | Read our Caesars Review
- DraftKings: Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets | Read our DraftKings Review
- PointsBet: Earn Five Second-Chance Bets Up to $50 Each | Read our PointsBet Review
- BetMGM: Get a Bonus Bet of Up to $1,000 | Read our BetMGM Review
(21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER)
* Bonuses not applicable in Ontario.
Related pages
- Best Live Betting Sites | Best Sportsbook Promos (U.S. only)