Can the Golden State Warriors complete a six-game sweep of the Sacramento Kings? Sportsbook Review betting analyst Jon Metler shares his top NBA player props and best bets for Friday's NBA playoff schedule using the best NBA odds.
At one time, the Sacramento Kings were in complete control of their series over the Golden State Warriors, but that feels like forever ago, as they will now face elimination on the road at the Chase Center.
The last time Keegan Murray played at the Chase Center, he shot lights out, but we're betting on a different outcome for Game 6. Can we break our Under curse and get a green check mark on an Under bet in these NBA playoffs?
Here are our top NBA player props and best bets for Friday (odds via NBA betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Friday's NBA schedule and odds
(odds via FanDuel)
- Sacramento Kings vs. Golden State Warriors (-7.5)
- Memphis Grizzlies vs. Los Angeles Lakers (-4.5)
Friday's NBA best bets
- Player prop: Keegan Murray Under 11.5 points (-110 via BetMGM) vs. Warriors ????
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Friday's NBA player prop picks
Murray helped us cash a same-game parlay on this exact prop in Game 5, and I see absolutely no reason to not run it back with the exact same bet for Game 6. In Game 5, Murray even played more minutes than we had anticipated, at 34, and still fell Under the total of 11.5 poin ts.
Murray is projected to score 10.9 points on Friday against the Golden State Warriors, which means we can price Murray at -135 to go Under the total of 11.5 points. Murray's 23-point explosion in Game 4 is keeping his total trading at a higher price than it should be.
You will want to buy this prop at BetMGM, which is asleep at the wheel for the moment and hasn't adjusted this line at all, despite other NBA betting sites moving the line. Caesars opened with the Under priced at -106 and is now trading the Under at -136. We have seen similar movement at FanDuel, which opened the under at -111 and is now trading it at -125. BetMGM will eventually catch up to the rest of the market, but before it does, hit the button.
Check out our NBA Finals odds and NBA Finals MVP odds.
NBA best bets made 04/28/2023 at 5:30 a.m. ET.
Here are our best NBA betting sites:
- FanDuel: Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets | Read our FanDuel Review
- Caesars: Earn Up to a $1,250 Bet Credit | Read our Caesars Review
- DraftKings: Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets | Read our DraftKings Review
- PointsBet: Earn Five Second-Chance Bets Up to $50 Each | Read our PointsBet Review
- BetMGM: Get a Bonus Bet of Up to $1,000 | Read our BetMGM Review
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* Bonuses not applicable in Ontario.
Related pages
- Best Live Betting Sites | Best Sportsbook Promos (U.S. only)