Nationals vs Mets Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for July 27 (Trust Kodai Senga to Frustrate Washington Lineup)

The New York Mets (47-54) will look to take a step toward a winning record when they host the Washington Nationals (43-59) at Citi Field on Thursday evening.

  1. Nationals vs Mets Game Info
  2. Nationals vs Mets Odds & Spread
  3. Nationals vs Mets Betting Trends
  4. Nationals vs Mets Prediction & Pick
  5. Nationals vs Mets Best Bet

Nationals vs Mets Game Info

  • Date:'Thursday, July 27, 2023
  • Time:'7:10 p.m. ET
  • Venue:'Citi Field — Flushing, NY
  • Coverage:'MASN and S NY

The Nationals come to town on a hot streak after they swept the San Francisco Giants and took two of three games from the Colorado Rockies. Meanwhile, the Mets lost two of three games against the Boston Red Sox before most recently splitting a two-game set versus the rivaled New York Yankees.

Nationals vs Mets Odds & Spread

  • Moneyline:'WSH: (+164) | NYM: (-196)
  • Spread:'WSH: +1.5 (-118) | NYM: -1.5 (-102)
  • Total:'9 — Over: (-118) | Under: (-104)< /li>

The Mets enter this contest as clear home favorites on the moneyline and spread per FanDuel Sportsbook's odds. This 7:10 p.m. ET clash also features an over/under of 9 runs with the Over favored at -118 odds.

Nationals vs Mets Betting Trends

  • Washington is 5-1 straight up in its last six games.
  • The total has hit the over in nine of Washington's 12 games.
  • The Mets are 13-7 straight up in their last 20 games against Washington.
  • The total has hit the under in five of the Mets' last six home games.

Nationals vs Mets Prediction & Pick

The Nationals are listed as an underdog with Josiah Gray on the mound. Gray has been reliable for Washington all year long, posting a 3.45 ERA and 1.44 WHIP in 20 starts (7-8 record). He has gotten little run support, though, as Washington is averaging a measly 3.83 runs over his last six starts.

Gray is opposed by Kodai Senga, who has posted a 3.27 ERA and 1.26 WHIP across 18 starts (7-5 record). Teams have yet to figure out his devastating ghost forkball pitch. It's helped him put together some standout performances, like when he tallied 12 strikeouts against the Diamondbacks on July 5.< /p>

The Mets have won 14 of their last 19 home games against the Nationals and I expect another victory to come on Thursday. Four New York batters have at least eight career at-bats against Gray and three of them are hitting at least .333. Guys like Pete Alonso and Brandon Nimmo will make a difference.

Final Score Prediction:'Nationals: 3 | Mets: 5

Nationals vs Mets Best Bet

Senga has faced Washington once before this season and he finished the outing with 7 strikeouts. It makes it surprising to see his stri keout prop listed at 5.5 on Thursday, especially since the Nationals average nearly an entire strikeout more when on the road versus at home. Senga has racked up at least 6 strikeouts in eight of his last nine starts and has an opportunity to keep rolling at Citi Field.


  
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