After what feels like a whole off-season worth of waiting, we finally reached Game One of the 2022 World Series. The juggernaut Astros take on the Cinderella Phillies with both teams throwing perennial CY Young Candidates in Game One. Justin Verlander takes the mound for Houston, and Aaron Nola gets the ball for the Phillies.
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Justin Verlander has remained dominant this late into his career by locating his fastball up in the zone exceptionally well. This allows him to get a significant amount of swing-and-miss. Among Phillies hitters, Schwarber has the highest xwOBA on pitches in the upper third of the zone. To an extent, I also like Schwarber to homer, but this is a safer bet.