The Purdue Boilermakers (8-4) visit Lucas Oil Stadium to take on the Michigan Wolverines (12-0) on Dec. 3. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Indianapolis.
Michigan are betting favorites in Week 14, with the spread sitting at -16.5 (-110).
The Purdue vs. Michigan Over/Under is 51.5 total points.
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Purdue vs Michigan Prediction, Big Ten Championship:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Michigan will win this game with 78.3% confidence.
Purdue vs Michigan Spread Prediction, Big Ten Championship:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Purdue will cover the spread with 74.7% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Purdue and Michigan, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Best Purdue Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Purdue players for Week 14, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Aidan O’Connell has hit the Passing Yards Over in 8 of his last 11 games (+4.60 Units / 35% ROI)
- Aidan O’Connell has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 57% ROI)
- King Doerue has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.80 Units / 46% ROI)
Best Michigan Player Prop Best Bets Today
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Michigan players for Week 14, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Cornelius Johnson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 12 of his last 18 games (+5.60 Units / 24% ROI)
- J.J. McCarthy has hit the Passing Yards Under in 5 of his last 6 games at home (+3.65 Units / 49% ROI)
- Ronnie Bell has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 6 of his last 8 games (+3.60 Units / 37% ROI)
- Blake Corum has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+3.60 Units / 36% ROI)
- Roman Wilson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- J.J. McCarthy has hit the TD Passes Under in 4 of his last 5 games at home (+2.95 Units / 44% ROI)
- J.J. McCarthy has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.80 Units / 46% ROI)
- Blake Corum has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 4 of his last 6 games (+1.50 Units / 20% ROI)
Purdue Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Purdue has hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 19 games (+15.00 Units / 29% ROI)
- Purdue has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 16 of their last 22 games (+10.18 Units / 39% ROI)
- Purdue has hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 21 games (+6.85 Units / 15% ROI)
- Purdue has hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.40 Units / 24% ROI)
- Purdue have covered the 1H Spread in 12 of their last 20 games (+4.40 Units / 20% ROI)
Michigan Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Michigan has hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 20 games (+18.05 Units / 13% ROI)
- Michigan has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 11 games at home (+9.45 Units / 13% ROI)
- Michigan have covered the Spread in 16 of their last 22 games (+9.40 Units / 39% ROI)
- Michigan has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 22 games (+6.87 Units / 9% ROI)
- Michigan has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.15 Units / 26% ROI)
Purdue Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Purdue has gone 5-7 against the spread this college football season (-2.65 Units / -20.15% ROI).
- Purdue is 7-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.45 Units / 16.27% ROI
- Purdue is 7-5 when betting the Over for +1.5 Units / 11.36% ROI
- Purdue is 5-7 when betting the Under for -2.7 Units / -20.45% ROI
Michigan Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Michigan has gone 8-4 against the spread this college football season (+3.6 Units / 27.27% ROI).
- Michigan is 7-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.8 Units / 14.83% ROI
- Michigan is 3-8 when betting the Over for -5.8 Units / -43.94% ROI
- Michigan is 8-3 when betting the Under for +4.7 Units / 35.61% ROI
Purdue is 12-7 (.571) when passing for more than 200 yards since the 2021 season– 10th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .415
Purdue is 9-2 (.818) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2021 season– 8th-best in FBS; Average: .497
Purdue is 7-1 (.778) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2021 season– 8th-best in FBS; Average: .542
Purdue is 11-4 (.647) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2021 season– tied for 14th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .526
#2 Michigan is 11-1 (.917) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2021 season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .381
#2 Michigan is undefeated (7-0) when sacking the QB less than 3 times — tied for best in FBS; Average: .406
#2 Michigan is undefeated (5-0) when in a one score game since the 2021 season– best in FBS; Average: .494
#2 Michigan is undefeated (21-0) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2021 season– best in FBS; Average: .516