The Michigan State Spartans (3-7) visit Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN) to take on the Indiana Hoosiers (3-7) on Nov. 18 in Bloomington.
Indiana is a betting favorite in Week 12, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).
The Michigan State vs. Indiana Over/Under is 47.5 total points.
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Michigan State vs Indiana Prediction for Week 12
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Indiana will win this game with 62.0% confidence.
Michigan State vs Indiana Spread Prediction for Week 12
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Michigan State will cover the spread with 53.1% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Michigan State and Indiana, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Michigan State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Michigan State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 11 games (+1.55 Units / 12% ROI)
- Michigan State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.45 Units / 11% ROI)
- Michigan State has hit the Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.80 Units / 15% ROI)
- Michigan State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 away games (+0.65 Units / 13% ROI)
- Michigan State have covered the 1Q Spread in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.65 Units / 11% ROI)
Indiana Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Indiana has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 11 games (+7.40 Units / 54% ROI)
- Indiana has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.75 Units / 51% ROI)
- Indiana has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
- Indiana has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.40 Units / 20% ROI)
- Indiana has hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 games at home (+2.15 Units / 20% ROI)
Best Michigan State Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Michigan State players for Week 12, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Tre Mosley has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 81% ROI)
- Maliq Carr has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Jalen Berger has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Christian Fitzpatrick has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 95% ROI)
- Jaron Glover has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Best Indiana Player Prop Best Bets Today
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Indiana players for Week 12, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Tayven Jackson has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Tayven Jackson has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 58% ROI)
- Jaylin Lucas has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Cam Camper has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Jaylin Lucas has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 74% ROI)
Michigan State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Michigan State is 4-5 against the spread this college football season (-1.5 Units / -13.7% ROI).
- Michigan State is 2-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.65 Units / -34.19% ROI
- Michigan State is 5-5 when betting the Over for -0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Michigan State is 5-5 when betting the Under for -0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI
Indiana Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Indiana is 6-4 against the spread this college football season (+1.6 Units / 14.55% ROI).
- Indiana is 2-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.5 Units / -17.3% ROI
- Indiana is 7-3 when betting the Over for +3.7 Units / 33.64% ROI
- Indiana is 3-7 when betting the Under for -4.7 Units / -42.73% ROI
Michigan State is 3-10 (.231) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes since the 2022 season– tied for 13th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .452
Michigan State is 4-10 (.286) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes since the 2022 season– tied for 36th-worst in FBS; Average: .437
Michigan State is 9-5 (.643) when in a one score game since the 2021 season– tied for 22nd-best in FBS; Average: .494
Michigan State is 17-4 (.739) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2021 season– 13th-best in FBS; Average: .527
Indiana is 2-19 (.074) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2021 season– 2nd-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .446
Indiana is 1-14 (.067) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2021 season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .510
Indiana is 3-22 (.120) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2021 season– tied for 2nd-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .450
Indiana is 2-18 (.100) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2021 season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .497
Indiana’s WRs has gained 1,573 yards on 113 receptions (13.9 YPR) this season — fifth-best among Big Ten WRs. Michigan State’s defense has allowed 12.7 Yards Per Reception this season — third-worst among Big Ten defenses.
Indiana’s WRs has gained 1,573 yards on 113 receptions (13.9 YPR) this season — fifth-best among Big Ten WRs. Michigan State’s defense has allowed 14.2 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — 30th-worst among FBS defenses.