The New York Mets (46-52) and Boston Red Sox (52-47) resume their three-game series at Fenway Park Saturday night.
- Mets vs Red Sox Game Info
- Mets vs Red Sox Odds & Spread
- Mets vs Red Sox Betting Trends
- Mets vs Red Sox Prediction & Pick
- Mets vs Red Sox Best Bet
Mets vs Red Sox Game Info
- Date:'Sunday, July 23, 2023
- Time:'7 p.m. ET
- Venue:'Fenway Park — Boston, Massachusetts
- Coverage:'ESPN
The two teams have split the first two games of this three-game set, which will conclude tonight on ESPN's Sunday Night Baseball. Two of the premier franchises in baseball, both have had disappointing 2023 seasons thus far. However, with the trade deadline approaching, the next couple of weeks will determine if either team will be buyers at the deadline.
Mets vs Red Sox Odds & Spread
- Moneyline:'NYM: (+116) | BOS: (-136)
- Spread:'NYM: +1.5 (-156) | BOS: -1.5 (+130)
- Total:'10.5 — Over: (-122) | Under: (+100)
The Red Sox enter this contest as home favorites on the moneyline and spread per FanDuel Sportsbook's odds. This 7 p.m. ET game also features an over/under of 10.5 runs with the Over being favored at -122 odds.
Mets vs Red Sox Betting Trends
- The Mets are 4-2 straight up (SU) in their last eight games.
- Boston is 6-1 SU in its last seven home games.
- The total has hit the Under in six of the Mets' last eight games.
- The total has hit the Under in five of Boston's last seven games against the Mets.
Mets vs Red Sox Prediction & Pick
Despite their struggles this season, the Red Sox are actually playing quite well of late, going 12-5 over their last 17 games. The Mets are sending Carlos Carrasco to the mound on Sunday, a guy who hasn't had his best year, pitching to an ERA over 5.0 on the season. While he has been better on the road (3.86 ERA), he runs into a hot Red Sox lineup that has put up five or more runs in five of their last eight games.
Boston is going with a bullpen game, and Brennan Bernardino is getting the start. This isn't completely new territory for him, though. He has three starts already this season, owns an impressive 2.48 ERA this season, and is averaging more t han one strikeout per inning with a 1.04 WHIP.
The mix of different pitchers that the Mets are poised to see should throw off a lineup that has underperformed all season.
Final Score Prediction:'Red Sox: 5 | Mets: 3
Mets vs Red Sox Best Bet
As mentioned above, Red Sox starter Bernadino averages more than one strikeout per inning, and while Carrasco doesn't quite meet that mark his season, he has recorded more strikeouts than innings pitched in four of his last five starts.
We're going to take both pitchers to record a strikeout in the first inning. Between their averages on the year and recent performances, getting this at plus odds could open up some value here.