Mets vs. Nationals odds, picks: Advanced computer MLB model releases selections for Monday matchup

The New York Mets and Washington Nationals begin a series between division rivals at 7:05 p.m. ET on Monday. New York is listed as a -267 favorite (risk $267 to win $100) at Caesars Sportsbook, while the Over-Under is set at 8 (see up-to-date'odds for every game this week on our MLB odds page). Before making any Mets vs. Nationals picks, you NEED to check out the MLB predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times, and it is 284-243 on top-rated MLB money-line picks since the start of the 2021 season, returning over $400 for $100 players. This is the same model that pegged the 2021 Atlanta Braves at 10-1 as one of three best bets to win it all last season. Anybody who has followed it has seen profitable returns.

The model knows the Mets are enjoying real success in 2022. New York holds the NL East leads, and the Mets are raking with top-tier marks in batting average and on-base percentage. The Mets are also near the top of the heap in strikeout avoidance, with above-average marks in runs scored, hits, triples, and OPS. New York's bullpen is also quite strong, with top-three marks in the NL in ERA and strikeout rate.

The model also knows the Nationals also have strengths. Washington leads the National League in strikeout avoidance, putting the ball in play with regularity. The Nationals are above-average in hits, doubles, and batting average, and Washington has two standouts in Josh Bell and Juan Soto. Soto is one of the b est hitters in the game, with more walks than strikeouts this season and incredible pedigree at the plate.

  
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