The New York Mets (+140) visit CoolToday Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-165) on Thursday, March 23, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05pm EDT in North Port.
The Braves are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+115).
The Mets vs Braves Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
During Spring Training, the Mets are 5-12 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 9-9 ATS.
Mets vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Mets vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Thursday‘s Spring Training matchup with 59.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mets and Braves and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:
- Francisco Lindor has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Brett Baty has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Jeff McNeil has hit the Hits Over in his last 2 away games (+2.95 Units / 86% ROI)
- Starling Marte has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 71% ROI)
- Starling Marte has hit the RBIs Over in 1 of his last 2 away games (+1.05 Units / 52% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Travis d’Arnaud has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 4 games (+4.05 Units / 80% ROI)
- Eddie Rosario has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 36% ROI)
- Marcell Ozuna has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 36% ROI)
- Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.10 Units / 86% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 88 of their last 165 games (+18.75 Units / 7% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 72 of their last 127 games (+15.55 Units / 11% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 88 of their last 165 games (+9.75 Units / 5% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 92 of their last 165 games (+7.27 Units / 4% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 53 games (+6.35 Units / 10% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 86 of their last 140 games (+23.04 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 79 of their last 116 games (+22.00 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 77 of their last 133 games (+21.60 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 53 games at home (+11.90 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 37 of their last 61 games (+9.10 Units / 12% ROI)
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 6-12 against the Run Line (-6.55 Units / -29.71% ROI).
- 5-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.1 Units / -52.61% ROI
- 10-8 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.7 Units / 8.79% ROI
- 8-10 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.15 Units / -15.48% ROI
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 9-9 against the Run Line (-0.7 Units / -3.21% ROI).
- 10-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.65 Units / 6.51% ROI
- 10-8 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.35 Units / 6.85% ROI
- 8-10 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.95 Units / -14.75% ROI
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a two strike miss rate of just 18% (36/197) against Jackson Stephens last season — 5th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — fifth Percentile.
Left-handed hitters had a line drive rate of 39% (29/75) against Jackson Stephens last season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.
Jackson Stephens struck out just 16% (17/107) of left-handed batters he faced last season — 6th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — sixth Percentile.