Southwest Division rivals clash in San Antonio on Tuesday as the Dallas Mavericks visit the San Antonio Spurs, and we have you covered with our Mavericks vs. Spurs NBA player props based on the best NBA odds.
As we come down the season's home stretch, every win counts for the Dallas Mavericks, who sit as the No. 7 seed in the Western Conference. With a 39-29 record, Dallas is tied with the No. 8 seed Phoenix Suns and half a game back of the Sacramento Kings, as MVP hopeful Luka Doncic leads his team for a late-season push.
The San Antonio Spurs have the worst record in the West at 15-53 and have been eliminated from playoff contention, but Victor Wembanyama has 14 games left to continue his development. Wemby was tremendous in his last game, an overtime win over the Brooklyn Nets.
The Spurs have lost three games to Dallas this season, and the Mavs will look to complete t he sweep on Tuesday at Frost Bank Center. We've got three combo props for this Southwest Division matchup featuring Luka, Wemby, and a mispriced line on Dallas' starting center.
Here are our best Mavericks vs. Spurs NBA player props and NBA picks (odds via our best NBA betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Mavericks vs. Spurs NBA player props: Tuesday
- Luka Doncic Over 53.5 points + rebounds + assists (-115 via FanDuel) ???
- Victor Wembanyama Over 39.5 points + rebounds + assists (-115 via bet365) ???
- Daniel Gafford Over 17.5 points + rebounds (-115 via DraftKings) ????
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Mavericks vs. Spurs props
This would be quite a lofty line for most players in the NBA, not for Doncic. In 12 games since the All-Star break, he's averaged 55.2 points + rebounds + assists, hitting the Over eight times. He hasn't hit the Over on this number in three straight, but a matchup with San Antonio should be what he needs to get back on track.
Luka has averaged 33 points , 11.3 rebounds, and 9.3 assists in three games against the Spurs this season, good for 53.6 points + rebounds + assists. He's hit the Over in two meetings, including one game at San Antonio. The Spurs allow the sixth-most points, fifth-most rebounds, and seventh-most assists, setting Doncic up nicely to hit the Over. The -115 odds give us an implied probability of 53.5%, but Doncic has hit the Over in 66.7% of games since the break. Despite this line getting a little extra juice from the standard -110, we're still getting it at a value over at FanDuel.
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Wemby has been great since his NBA debut, but he's continued to improve as the season goes on. He averaged 33.7 points + rebounds + assists pre-All-Star break, but he's averaged 38.8 since the break. He's hit the Over on this line in seven of his last 13 games, averaging 22.8 points, 11.8 rebounds, and 4.8 assists.
The Mavericks allow the third-most rebounds per game on the season and the second-most on the road. Dallas allows the 10th-most assists and the eighth-most points. Wemby is set up nicely to cash this once again, as he posted 26 points, nine rebounds, and five assists (40 points+rebounds+assists) in his last game against Dallas. The 53.5% implied probability on these odds is right on target, as Wemby has gone Over in 53.8% of his last 13 outings. We're taking the Over in this favorable division matchup, and using our bet365 bonus code: SBRBONUS.
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After battling with Dereck Lively II for a spot in Dallas' starting five, Gafford has started six straight games. In that span, he's averaged 14.3 points and eight rebounds, hitting the Over in four of six. Despite fluctuating playing time and three games with 13 or fewer minutes, Gafford has averaged 18.4 points+rebounds in 16 games since joining the Mavericks. He hit the Over in nine of those 16 games.
The Spurs allow the third-most points in the paint and the fifth-most rebounds to opponents this season, presenting Gafford with a favorable matchup. Over the last three games, San Antonio allowed Nic Claxton to post 25 points+rebounds, Nikola Jokic to post 38, and Jabari Smith Jr. to post 24. Gafford posted 10 points and 10 rebounds when he faced the Spurs on February 14. The -115 odds at DraftKings actually come at a discount when we consider Gafford has hit the Over in 69.2% of games with at least 15 minutes played since arriving in Dallas. This is an easy Over and our most confident wager of the game.
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Mavericks-Spurs NBA player props made Tuesday at 5:55 a.m. ET.
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