The Miami Marlins (+105) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-125) on Wednesday, August 10, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Philadelphia.

The Phillies are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+165).

The Marlins vs Phillies Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Marlins are 49-60 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 58-51 ATS.

Marlins vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Marlins vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 70.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Marlins and Phillies and up-to-date player injuries.

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Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

• Bryan De La Cruz has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 22 games (+16.05 Units / 35% ROI)
• Joey Wendle has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 18 games (+13.30 Units / 45% ROI)
• Bryan De La Cruz has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 22 games (+12.90 Units / 39% ROI)
• Sandy Alcantara has hit the Earned Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+12.85 Units / 49% ROI)
• Brian Anderson has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+10.25 Units / 30% ROI)

Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

• Nick Castellanos has hit the RBIs Under in 30 of his last 39 games at home (+13.40 Units / 17% ROI)
• Rhys Hoskins has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 32 games at home (+13.05 Units / 37% ROI)
• Kyle Schwarber has hit the Singles Under in 28 of his last 36 games (+12.80 Units / 18% ROI)
• Kyle Schwarber has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 27 games (+11.90 Units / 42% ROI)
• J.T. Realmuto has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+10.25 Units / 31% ROI)

Phillies vs Marlins Home Run Prop Bets Today

Phillies vs Marlins Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Phillies vs Marlins RBI Prop Bets Today

Phillies vs Marlins Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Positive Betting Trends for the Marlins Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals

• The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 37 games (+8.85 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 21 of their last 33 games (+7.30 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 20 away games (+4.55 Units / 20% ROI)

Positive Betting Trends for the Phillies: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals

• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 40 of their last 59 games (+18.20 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 61 of their last 104 games (+15.95 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 35 of their last 58 games (+14.50 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 31 games at home (+6.35 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in their last 6 games at home (+6.25 Units / 49% ROI)

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Marlins have gone 48-61 against the Run Line (-22.1 Units / -15.23% ROI).

• 49-60 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.2 Units / -12.24% ROI
• 50-55 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.4 Units / -8.59% ROI
• 55-50 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.5 Units / 0.42% ROI

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Marlins have gone 58-51 against the Run Line (+7.1 Units / 5.36% ROI).

• 61-48 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.1 Units / 3.38% ROI
• 55-48 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.35 Units / 1.96% ROI
• 48-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.2 Units / -10.18% ROI

Sandy Alcantara: Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 16% (28/172) against Sandy Alcantara this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 98th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 56% (233/418) against Sandy Alcantara this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 96th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 59% (101/172) against Sandy Alcantara this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 96th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .195 (108-for-555) against Sandy Alcantara this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .235 — 93rd Percentile.

Noah Syndergaard: Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Noah Syndergaard has had second base stolen on him 22 times this season — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.

Noah Syndergaard has allowed 27 stolen bases this season — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.

Noah Syndergaard has had third base stolen on him 5 times this season — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of 64% (16/25) against Noah Syndergaard on the first pitch of at-bats this month (1 games) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.

Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

  
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