We're giving our predictions for how LeBron James will score his 40,000th career point based on the best NBA odds.
It was just over a year ago that LeBron James enshrined himself as the all-time leading scorer in NBA history. The Los Angeles Lakers star gets a shot to reach another milestone this weekend, and you can bet on it.
Three of our best sports betting sites are offering prop bet odds on how the league's most prolific scorer will secure his 40,000th career point, which is almost certain to come Saturday when the Lakers host the Denver Nuggets at 8:30 p.m. on ABC.
Here are our best predictions and NBA picks for James' historic scoring night with odds via our best NBA betting sites.
LeBron James scoring milestone odds, predictions
| Method | DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2-point field goal | -160 | OFF | OFF |
| 3-point field goal | +260 | +300 | +300 |
| Free throw | +390 | +420 | +525 |
| Layup | OFF | +175 | +200 |
| Dunk | OFF | +650 | +525 |
| Other | OFF | +370 | +325 |
Three of our best sportsbooks are offering odds on how James will score his 40,000th point – but each book is doing so in a slightly different fashion.
DraftKings is offering three very simple options: a 2-pointer, 3-pointer, or free throw. James set the all-time career scoring record with a fadeaway jumper from the elbow last February, so it makes sense that we're seeing a 2-point shot dealing as the favorite – and it's probably the best bet, too.
That said, the other two books – FanDuel and BetMGM – give us a little more to work with, offering odds on James securing his 40,000th point with a layup or dunk. They're also offering better odds on a 3-point shot or a free throw compared to what DraftKings has listed for those outcomes.
Let's be real about this: James knows this is coming. He hasn't been shy about discussing it ahead of S aturday's game, and you have to imagine he'll know exactly how close he is given that The Kings is just nine points away from reaching the milestone.
There's no doubt his fadeaway jumper to break Kareem Adbul-Jabbar's record was planned, either well in advance or just ahead of that play, and it feels like this one will be, too. That has me shying away from something as simple as a layup or a free throw – although the latter might be out of his control.
To me, the best option on the board is a dunk, especially with such generous odds from FanDuel. He'll hit this mark early in the game when James is still fresh and both defenses are working into the flow of the contest, which could leave the runway open for King James to do what he does best.
Prediction: Dunk (+650 via FanDuel)
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LeBron James scoring milestone FAQs
Entering Saturday, LeBron James has scored 39,991 points in the regular season across his 21-year career in the NBA.
James needs to score nine point s to reach 40,000 career points in the NBA regular season, a milestone that no player has ever reached.
LeBron James broke the NBA's all-time career scoring record last season, beating the previous record of 38,387 points set by Kareem Abdul-Jabbar.
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