Every win counts for the Los Angeles Lakers and Milwaukee Bucks as we creep toward the NBA playoffs, and we have made our best Lakers vs. Bucks NBA player props based on the best NBA odds.
The Los Angeles Lakers are firmly entrenched in the Western Conference seeding battle with a 39-32 record. The Lakers sit ninth in the conference, three games from climbing out of the Play-In Tournament and three games away from falling out of the Play-In Tournament.
Los Angeles has won three in a row and defeated the Milwaukee Bucks at home when these teams met on March 8. Milwaukee is 46-25 as the No. 2 seed in the Eastern Conference and has won two in a row.
With just two weeks remaining in the regular season, this should be a competitive affair despite LeBron James's absence. We've got some tremendous values with three plus-money props, including two for Austin Reaves and D' ;Angelo Russell, who have been great with James out of action.
Here are our best Lakers vs. Bucks NBA player props and NBA picks (odds via our best NBA betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Lakers vs. Bucks NBA player props: Tuesday
- D'Angelo Russell Over 9.5 assists (+240 via FanDuel) ????
- Giannis Antetokounmpo Over 12.5 rebounds (+105 via bet365) ????
- Austin Reaves Over 2.5 made 3-pointers (+130 via DraftKings) ???
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Lakers vs. Bucks props
LeBron James is doubtful tonight, which is great news for Russell's assists prop. His line is set at 7.5 across our best sports betting sites, but it's too juiced for our liking. Russell has averaged 10.7 assists in nine games played without LeBron this season, dishing at least eight in each. He's reached 10 assists in five of those nine, so we're taking th e long odds on an alternate assists line.
In four of his five games with 10 assists sans LeBron, D'Lo has reached that mark four times on the road. The Bucks have allowed the 15th-most assists per game on the season and the 10th-most across their last 10 outings. Russell went off for 44 points against Milwaukee on March 8, handing out eight assists in the process. We can't count on such a monster scoring performance again, and we'll need Russell to hand out one more assist than he did in that one. The odds here are particularly enticing, as a $10 wager will return a $24 profit.
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Giannis is one of the NBA's best rebounders. He's averaged a healthy 11.6 boards per game at home this season compared to 10.9 on the road. He pulled down 14 rebounds against the Lakers in his first matchup with them, and he 9;s hit the Over on this prop in four of his last eight. That includes 19 rebounds in his last game against the Oklahoma City Thunder.
The Lakers have allowed the 13th-most rebounds per game over their last 15, including the fifth-most offensive boards in that span. Giannis has hit the Over in 33% of his games this season, reaching this mark in 22 of 66 appearances. Based on that low percentage, we might think the odds should be longer, but he's gotten there in 50% of his last eight and has a favorable matchup. We'll take the +105 odds over at bet365 with an implied probability of 48.8%.
Over his last 10 outings, Reaves has knocked down 2.9 triples per game and hit at least three of them five times. On the season, he's made 2.0 triples on the road compared to 1.8 at home. Pre-All-Star break, Reaves hit 1.7 three-pointers per game, but he's hit 2.4 post-break.
Reaves has hit this mark 20 times on the season, including 10 on the road. The biggest kicker here is the likely absence of James. Reaves has hit 1.8 triples per game with Bron in the lineup compared to 2.6 with him on the sidelines. Reaves hit the Over on this prop in three of them in seven road games without James. Over the last 10 games, the Bucks have allowed the second-most 3-pointers and the third-highest 3-point percentage. A $10 wager on this line will yield a $13 profit, making this a profitable bet at DraftKings, given Reaves' recent success and the highly favorable matchup.
Lakers-Bucks NBA player props made Tuesday at 9:55 a.m. ET.
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