The Jacksonville Jaguars (4-2) visit Caesars Superdome to take on the New Orleans Saints (3-3) on Oct. 19. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15pm EDT in New Orleans.
The Saints are betting favorites in this Week 7 matchup, with the spread sitting at -1 (-110).
The Jaguars vs. Saints Over/Under is 39.5 total points for the game.
Bet now on Saints vs Jaguars & all NFL games with BetMGM
Jaguars vs. Saints Prediction
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Saints will win this Week 7 game with 64.0% confidence.
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Saints will cover the spread with 55.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Jaguars and Saints, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
Bet now on Saints vs Jaguars and all NFL games with BetMGM
Get up to $1,500 First Bet Offer
Best Jaguars Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Jaguars players this Week 7 game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Christian Kirk has hit the Receptions Over in 12 of his last 18 games (+6.40 Units / 30% ROI)
- Trevor Lawrence has hit the Completions Over in 13 of his last 19 games (+6.35 Units / 30% ROI)
- Evan Engram has hit the Receptions Over in 9 of his last 14 games (+5.70 Units / 34% ROI)
- Travis Etienne has hit the Longest Rush Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.25 Units / 28% ROI)
- Zay Jones has hit the Receptions Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+5.05 Units / 28% ROI)
Best Saints Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Saints players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Alvin Kamara has hit the Longest Rush Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.80 Units / 60% ROI)
- Juwan Johnson has hit the Receptions Over in 8 of his last 13 games (+4.90 Units / 37% ROI)
- Juwan Johnson has hit the Longest Reception Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.55 Units / 44% ROI)
- Juwan Johnson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+3.90 Units / 35% ROI)
- Alvin Kamara has hit the Carries Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.55 Units / 44% ROI)
First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Saints vs Jaguars
| Player Name | 1st TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Alvin Kamara | +475 |
| Travis Etienne | +500 |
| Calvin Ridley | +900 |
| Chris Olave | +900 |
| Michael Thomas | +1100 |
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Saints vs Jaguars
| Player Name | Anytime TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Alvin Kamara | -120 |
| Travis Etienne | +115 |
| Chris Olave | +175 |
| Calvin Ridley | +200 |
| Christian Kirk | +240 |
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Saints vs Jaguars
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Alvin Kamara | 29.5 -120 | 29.5 -110 |
| Rashid Shaheed | 35.5 -110 | 35.5 -120 |
| Chris Olave | 62.5 -115 | 62.5 -115 |
| Michael Thomas | 52.5 -115 | 52.5 -115 |
| Calvin Ridley | 54.5 -110 | 54.5 -120 |
Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Saints vs Jaguars
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Alvin Kamara | 52.5 -110 | 52.5 -120 |
| Travis Etienne | 60.5 -120 | 60.5 -110 |
Jaguars Best Bets:
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 22 games (+7.90 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have covered the Spread in 15 of their last 22 games (+7.30 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 2H Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 away games (+7.10 Units / 84% ROI)
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 19 games (+6.35 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have covered the 4Q Spread in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.20 Units / 27% ROI)
Saints Best Bets:
- The New Orleans Saints have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 17 games (+3.80 Units / 19% ROI)
- The New Orleans Saints have covered the 3Q Spread in 10 of their last 17 games (+3.45 Units / 16% ROI)
- The New Orleans Saints have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 17 games (+2.95 Units / 15% ROI)
- The New Orleans Saints have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 17 games (+2.75 Units / 13% ROI)
- The New Orleans Saints have scored first in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.50 Units / 28% ROI)
Jaguars Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Jaguars went 4-2 (+1.85 Units / 28.24% ROI).
- Jaguars are 4-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.4 Units / 3.54% ROI
- Jaguars are 3-3 when betting the Over for -0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Jaguars are 3-3 when betting the Under for -0.3 Units / ROI
Saints Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Saints went 1-4 (-3.3 Units / -50.38% ROI).
- Saints are 3-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.7 Units / -18.89% ROI
- Saints are 0-6 when betting the Over for -6.6 Units / -100% ROI
- Saints are 6-0 when betting the Under for +6 Units / 90.91% ROI
Jacksonville Jaguars: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Saints
The Jaguars are 4-2 (.667) this season — tied for 6th-best in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Jaguars are 1-9 (.100) when playing in cold weather since the 2021 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .495.
The Jaguars are 3-21 (.125) when not forcing a fumble since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .409.
The Jaguars are 4-2 (.667) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties this season — tied for 8th-best in NFL; League Avg: .473.
New Orleans Saints: Keys to the Game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars
The Saints are 1-4-1 (.167) when the opposing team commits less than 30 yards in penalties since the 2021 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .475.
The Saints are 5-9-1 (.333) when playing in warm weather since the 2021 season — tied for 6th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .495.
The Saints are 2-9 (.182) when allowing more than 50% of third down conversions opportunities since the 2021 season — 10th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .270.
The Saints are 7-9-1 (.412) at home since the 2021 season — 10th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .532.