Today’s Hitter Prop Picks For August 7
Andy Lang provides his MLB hitter prop picks and predictions for Monday, August 7 with odds provided by DraftKings. Get his best MLB player props before first pitch!
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Hitter Prop Prediction 1: Marcus Semien Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-145)
Texas Rangers leadoff hitter Marcus Semien is posting monster numbers in 2023 with a .281 batting average, 18 home runs, 92 runs and 71 RBI across 515 plate appearances.
After going 2-4 yesterday with a home run against Miami Marlins ace Sandy Alcantara, Semien has now recorded 2+ Hits + Runs + RBI in 7 straight games and 12 of his last 14 games.
Semien has been an Athletics killer this season, clearing 1.5 HRR in 6 straight games while going 7-24 with 6 RBI. This includes going 2-5 with two doubles against todays starting pitcher Ken Waldichuk.
Waldichuk is 2-7 on the season with a 6.52 ERA and 1.74 WHIP across 88.1 innings of work. He has only reached the 6th inning once this season and he will be backed by a bullpen that ranks dead last with a 5.53 ERA.
Semien is in an enviable spot in the Rangers batting order as he leads off in front of an offense that ranks top-five across the board against right and left-handed pitching.
He has eclipsed 1.5 HRR in 77 of 112 games on the season for a 69% success rate which makes the implied odds -220 on the over. We get a -145 line against an opponent he has been even more successful against in 2023.
Hitter Prop Prediction 2: Nick Castellanos Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (+120)
Philadelphia Phillies right fielder Nick Castellanos is batting .274 on the season with 17 home runs and 67 RBI across 463 plate appearances.
He has been on fire in August with a .280 batting average, three home runs and 7 RBI while clearing 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBI in five of his last six games.
Washington Nationals starting pitcher Trevor Williams is 5-6 on the season with a bloated 4.72 ERA and 1.49 WHIP with only 79 strikeouts across 108.1 innings pitched. He was clubbed in his last outing against the New York Mets where he allowed five runs on seven hits across only four innings of work.
Castellanos has feasted on Williams throughout his career, going 11-28 with two home runs and four doubles. He isn’t the only Philly slugger to have success against Williams as Bryce Harper is 3-9, Kyle Schwarber is 10-37 with four home runs and JT Realmuto 5-10 with three home runs.
Castellanos will also have opportunities against a vulnerable bullpen that ranks 28th with a 5.13 ERA. This play checks all the boxes, making it worth a while for a plus money play despite the 2.5 line.
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