Today’s Hitter Prop Picks For August 4
Andy Lang provides his MLB hitter prop picks and predictions for Friday, August 4 with odds provided by DraftKings. Get his best MLB player props before first pitch!
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Hitter Prop Prediction 1: Matt Chapman Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (+100)
Toronto Blue Jays third baseman Matt Chapman is batting .254 on the season with 14 home runs and 45 RBI across 348 plate appearances.
He has fallen short of 2+ Hits + Runs + RBI in his last two games, five of his last seven games and 18 of his last 30 games (60% success rate to under). Chapman simply hasn’t been able to figure out Boston Red Sox starting pitcher James Paxton who he is 0-17 against with 11 strikeouts in his career.
We actually posted a prior article on this exact play on June 30th and Chapman was held to 0-4 while Paxton tossed 7.2 scoreless innings.
Paxton is now 6-2 on the season with a 3.34 ERA and 80 strikeouts across 70 innings of work. He also enjoys the home cooking at Fenway Park where he has posted a 2.25 ERA compared to a 4.07 ERA on the road.
The Blue Jays lineup becomes much easier to navigate without Bo Bichette and Paxton already cut through them like a knife through butter. We just need him to continue his dominance over Chapman at a very reasonable +100 price.
Hitter Prop Prediction 2: Freddie Freeman Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs (-155)
Los Angeles Dodgers stud first baseman Freddie Freeman is having an MVP-caliber season with a .341 batting average, 22 home runs, 76 RBI, 94 runs and 14 stolen bases across 487 plate appearances.
He has cleared 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBI in his last four games and 23 of his last 30 games for a 77% success rate to the over.
Freeman is coming off a series where he dominated the Oakland Athletics pitching, going 10-14 (.714) with a home run, five doubles and three RBI. Enter San Diego Padres starting pitcher Yu Darvish who Freeman has dominated to the tune of 9-28 (.321) with three home runs and two doubles.
Darvish has been hot and cold this season resulting in an 8-7 record, 4.53 ERA with 117 strikeouts across 107.1 innings of work.
The Dodgers lineup is firing on all cylinders after scoring 25 runs across a three-game set against Oakland.
Freeman is locked in the heart of the order, and he will see plenty of RBI and run scoring opportunities, making the juice worth the squeeze. Take Freeman over 1.5 HRR tonight in LA.
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