After a heartbreaking Saturday loss, the Philadelphia 76ers look to get back on track against a visiting Miami Heat squad. Our Heat vs. 76ers NBA picks are based on the best NBA odds.
The Miami Heat have lost four straight games and are desperately searching for a win heading into Monday's marquee matchup with the Philadelphia 76ers. The Sixers are 5-1 across their last six games and have gone 21-7 straight up at home this season. This is the first meeting between these two teams this season, and the stars will be out in full force with Jimmy Butler, Joel Embiid, and James Harden taking the court in primetime.
Here is our best Heat vs. 76ers NBA pick (odds via DraftKings Sportsbook; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
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Heat vs. 76ers pick
Over the last three regular seasons, Miami is 3-4 ATS when facing Philadelphia. The team has failed to cover in any of its last four games and rides a four-game losing streak into a hostile environment for visiting teams.
The spread seems large for a capable team such as Miami, but the Heat haven't been all that hot this season. Miami is just 11-21-1 ATS when facing Eastern Conference opponents, while the 76ers are 18-17-1 against conference foes.
Philly won and covered in five straight before losing a heartbreaker in overtime to the Boston Celtics on Saturday by just three points. Philly is playing some of its best basketball right now, and the injury report is clean for the Sixers. Philly is 4-1 over its last five games in which it was favored by at least 6.5 points. The team will surely be fired up to bounce back from Saturday's narrow loss, and we'll take the 76ers to cover at home.
Heat vs. 76ers best odds
| DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars | PointsBet |
| 76ers -6.5 | 76ers -6 | 76ers -6.5 | 76ers -6 | 76ers -6 |
| -105 | -110 | -105 | -110 | -110 |
Three of our featured books offer this one at -6 with -110 odds. Because we're comfortable betting this one up to 76ers -7.5, we'll gladly sell half a point for longer odds and take this one at -6.5 for -105 odds at DraftKings or BetMGM.
Heat vs. 76ers odds
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Heat vs. 76ers odds analysis
The Sixers are big favorites at home, and the team has attracted 73% of bets to cover. The team is 21-11-1 at home and 17-10-1 ATS as the home favorite. Miami is 6-9 ATS as the road underdog and just 21-37-3 on the season overall.
Philly is 15-12-1 to the Over as home favorites, 9-10 following a loss, and just 1-3-1 across its last five contests. The Heat are 10-5 to the Over as road dogs, but just 15-19 against Eastern Co nference opponents. Miami has hit the Over in three of its last five matchups. Bettors are targeting the Over, with 61% of bets placed on that outcome.
Heat vs. 76ers game info
- Date: Monday, Feb. 27, 7 p.m. ET
- TV: NBA TV
- Location: Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia, PA
Heat-76ers pick made 02/27/2023 at 11:45 a.m. ET
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