The Cleveland Guardians (-200) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (+165) on Tuesday, August 9, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Detroit.
The Guardians are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-115).
The Guardians vs Tigers Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Guardians are 56-52 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 49-61 ATS.
Guardians vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Guardians vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 54.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Guardians and Tigers and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 28 games (+11.30 Units / 24% ROI)
- Myles Straw has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 16 away games (+11.00 Units / 34% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 28 games (+10.75 Units / 38% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 25 away games (+10.00 Units / 26% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 27 games (+8.30 Units / 14% ROI)
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Miguel Cabrera has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 17 games at home (+9.65 Units / 42% ROI)
- Austin Meadows has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 58% ROI)
- Austin Meadows has hit the RBIs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 42% ROI)
- Miguel Cabrera has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+7.15 Units / 67% ROI)
- Eric Haase has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 17 games at home (+6.90 Units / 24% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Guardians Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 49 of their last 89 games (+11.65 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 39 of their last 68 games (+9.10 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 30 of their last 55 away games (+7.85 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games (+6.55 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 49 of their last 89 games (+6.10 Units / 5% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Tigers: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 61 of their last 107 games (+20.75 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+7.75 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 37 games at home (+7.50 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 10 games (+4.40 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 10 games (+4.00 Units / 38% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 57-51 against the Run Line (+0.95 Units / 0.69% ROI).
- 56-52 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.7 Units / 5.16% ROI
- 52-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.9 Units / -1.59% ROI
- 49-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.1 Units / -6.82% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 49-61 against the Run Line (-20.6 Units / -14.9% ROI).
- 43-67 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.45 Units / -8.96% ROI
- 39-62 when betting on the total runs Over for -28.55 Units / -23.56% ROI
- 62-39 when betting on the total runs Under for +19.6 Units / 16.14% ROI
Shane Bieber: Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .306 (19-for-62) against Shane Bieber’s elevated fastball this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .220 — 10th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 34% (43/126) against Shane Bieber on fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 36% (32/89) against Shane Bieber on elevated fastballs since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 135 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 0 Percentile.
Shane Bieber has allowed a slugging percentage of just .171 (30 Total Bases / 175 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .296 — 92nd Percentile.
Tyler Alexander: Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .373 (38-for-102) against Tyler Alexander on inside fastballs since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 135 total IP; League Avg: .258 — 0 Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 19% (163/851) against Tyler Alexander since the start of last season — tied for 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 135 total IP; League Avg: 26% — seventh Percentile.
66% of Tyler Alexander’s called strikeouts are outside since the start of last season — 11th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 135 total IP; League Avg: 50% — 93rd Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 20% (228/1,151) against Tyler Alexander since the start of last season — tied for 11th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 135 total IP; League Avg: 25% — eighth Percentile.