Golden State Warriors vs. Miami Heat odds, tips and betting trends | 3/26/2024

The Golden State Warriors (36-34) square off against the Miami Heat (39-32) at 7:30 PM ET on Tuesday, March 26, 2024 on BSSUN and NBCS-BA.

The Warriors are only a 2-point favorite when they and the Heat hit the court in a game expected to be a close one. The point total for the game is 219.

Warriors vs. Heat Betting Odds

NBA odds courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook. Odds updated Monday at 7:29 PM ET. For a full list of sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub.

  • Spread: Golden State -2
  • Total: 219
  • Moneyline: Golden State -130, Miami +110

Warriors at Heat odds, spread, & more

  • Pick ATS: Heat (+ 2)
  • Pick OU:

    Over (219)

  • Prediction:
    Heat 114 – Warriors 113
  • Golden State has won 29, or 64.4%, of the 45 contests in which it was the favorite this year.
  • This year, Golden State has won 27 of 41 games when listed as at least -130 or better on the moneyline.
  • Golden State has an implied victory probability of 56.5% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • Miami has put together an 11-21 record in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 34.4% of those games).
  • Miami has a record of 9-18 in games it has played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +110 or longer (33.3%).
  • Based on this matchup’s moneyline, Miami’s implied win probability is 47.6%.
  • The Warriors put up 118.3 points per game, 9.4 more points than the 108.9 the Heat give up.
  • Golden State is 33-23-1 against the spread and 33-24 overall when scoring more than 108.9 points.
  • Miami has put together a 13-7 ATS record and a 17-3 overall record in games it scores more than 116.8 points.
  • Golden State’s record is 16-5-1 against the spread and 18-4 overall when it allows fewer than 109.6 points.
  • The Warriors are the league’s seventh-ranked scoring team (118.3 PPG), while the Heat allow the rank fourth in points per game (108.9) in NBA action.
  • The 27th-ranked scoring NBA team (109.6 PPG) is Miami, while the Golden State squad ranks 19th in the league defensively (116.8 PPG).
  • The Warriors have totaled a total of 106 more points than their opponents this year (an average of 1.5 per game), and the Heat have out-scored opponents by 50 points on the season (0.7 more per game).

Over/Under

  • The average implied total for Golden State this year is 118.8 points, 7.8 more points than its implied total of 111 points in Tuesday’s game.
  • So far this season, Golden State has outscored its implied point total for this matchup (111) 50 times.
  • The 113.2-point average implied total on the season for Miami is 4.2 more points than the team’s 109-point implied total in this matchup.

How to watch Warriors vs. Heat

  • Game Day: Tuesday, March 26, 2024
  • Game Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: BSSUN and NBCS-BA
  • Location: Miami, Florida
  • Arena: Kaseya Center
  • TV Channel: Bally Sports
  • Live stream: Watch on Fubo!
  • NBA League Pass: The most live games plus NBA TV. Free trial

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