Fresno State vs New Mexico Picks
As the college basketball season continues to deliver exhilarating matchups, one particular game captures the attention of fans and bettors alike: the late-night encounter between Fresno State and New Mexico, airing on Fox Sports One at 10:30 PM Eastern.
At first glance, this showdown on Wednesday, March 6th, seems poised to favor New Mexico, a team that boasts superior offensive and defensive statistics.
However, a deeper dive into the dynamics of this game reveals a narrative that transcends initial expectations, presenting a compelling case for Fresno State as a viable underdog.
WagerTalk handicapper Steve Merril analyzes this Fresno State vs New Mexico college basketball matchup. Watch the video and get his college basketball picks before tip-off!
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The Context: New Mexico’s Recent Struggles
New Mexico enters this game on the heels of back-to-back losses, marking a concerning trend of four defeats in their last six outings.
This slump is indicative of underlying issues that have plagued the team, particularly when facing opponents that deviate from their preferred fast-paced gameplay.
The Lobos, who play at the fifth-fastest pace among the nation’s 362 teams, have consistently found themselves at a disadvantage against teams that enforce a slow, methodical half-court game.
Fresno State’s Opportunity: Slowing the Pace
Fresno State, despite its recent 0-5 straight-up run, emerges as a compelling point spread play in this matchup.
The Bulldogs’ preference for a slower tempo mirrors the strategy that has led to New Mexico’s recent struggles, most notably in games against Air Force, San Diego State, and UNLV.
This approach could very well be Fresno State’s key to remaining competitive against the Lobos, making the Bulldogs an attractive pick at +17.5 points.
Betting Strategies and Considerations
The tempo of the game is expected to play a crucial role in determining the outcome of this late-night clash. For bettors looking to capitalize on this matchup, a correlated betting strategy is recommended.
Those favoring New Mexico might find value in pairing their bet with an over wager, under the assumption that a Lobos victory would necessitate a high-scoring affair.
Conversely, backing Fresno State aligns with expectations for a lower-scoring game, as a successful underdog effort would likely involve slowing the game down to frustrate New Mexico’s offense.