Week 8 NFL best bets and predictions
Each week, I'll be looking through Sunday's NFL games to try and feed my readers three winners. That continues with the three best bets I have for the Week 8 slate. Keep reading to find out what I have and make sure you also check out what my talented VSiN colleagues are playing. Those plays, along with all of our NFL content for the week, are available at our Week 8 NFL Bet Hub. You can also get all of our picks for the week on the Pro Picks page.
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Minnesota Vikings at Green Bay Packers
I’m fully aware that the Packers are the sharp side in this game. The entire betting public will be on the Vikings here, as they’re fresh off a win over the San Francisco 49ers and are facing a team that lost to the Broncos last week and has now lost three in a row. And I generally do like to let betting splits guide me quite a bit. However, I view this as such a big mismatch that I simply have to take Minnesota.
As of right now, the Packers are down at 27th in the league in Defensive DVOA, meanwhile the Vikings are up at 15th in the NFL. On top of that, Minnesota is 14th in the league in both Offensive DVOA and EPA per play. Green Bay is in a similar ballpark, but not quite as good. With that in mind, the Vikings are the better team on both sides of the ball. And the most important thing to me is that Minnesota is playing much better defensively in recent weeks. That makes it hard for me to see a scenario in which Jordan Love, who is ranked 35th in CPOE (Completion Percentage Over Expected) out of 40 quarterbacks, finds a way to move the ball efficiently in the passing game.