Duke vs Miami (FL) Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 8

The Duke Blue Devils (4-3) visit Hard Rock Stadium to take on the Miami (FL) Hurricanes (3-3) on Oct. 22. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:30pm EDT in Miami Gardens.

Miami (FL) are betting favorites in Week 8, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-110).

The Over/Under for Duke vs. Miami (FL) is 58.5 total points.

Bet now on Miami (FL) vs Duke & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Duke vs Miami (FL) Prediction for Week 8

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Duke will win this game with 57% confidence.

Duke vs Miami (FL) Spread Prediction for Week 8

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Duke will cover the spread with 61% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Duke and Miami (FL), plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Duke Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Duke players for Week 8, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Riley Leonard has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Jalon Calhoun has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+4.05 Units / 59% ROI)

  • Duke has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 8 away games (+5.90 Units / 67% ROI)
  • Duke has hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 8 away games (+5.85 Units / 66% ROI)
  • Duke has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 8 away games (+5.15 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Duke has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 6 of their last 8 away games (+4.85 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Duke has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games (+3.25 Units / 38% ROI)

  • Miami (FL) has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games (+5.45 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Miami (FL) has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.65 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Miami (FL) has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.95 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Miami (FL) has hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+3.70 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Miami (FL) has hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.80 Units / 36% ROI)

Duke Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Duke has gone 4-2 against the spread this college football season (+1.85 Units / 28.24% ROI).

  • Duke is 3-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.45 Units / 15.51% ROI
  • Duke is 1-4 when betting the Over for -3.4 Units / -51.52% ROI
  • Duke is 4-1 when betting the Under for +2.9 Units / 43.94% ROI

Miami (FL) Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Miami (FL) has gone 1-4 against the spread this college football season (-3.4 Units / -61.82% ROI).

  • Miami (FL) is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.8 Units / -15.38% ROI
  • Miami (FL) is 2-3 when betting the Over for -1.3 Units / -23.64% ROI
  • Miami (FL) is 3-2 when betting the Under for +0.8 Units / 14.55% ROI

Duke is 2-17 (.100) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2020 season– 4th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .361

Duke is 1-10 (.091) when the opposing team commits less than 30 yards in penalties since the 2020 season– 4th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .509

Duke is 3-16 (.158) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2020 season– 3rd-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .506

Duke is 5-17 (.185) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2020 season– 4th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .464

Miami (FL) is winless (0-2) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game since the 2020 season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .386

Miami (FL)’s TEs has gained 845 yards on 66 receptions (12.8 YPR) since the 2021 season — second-best among ACC TEs. Duke’s defense has allowed 14.0 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — worst among ACC defenses.

  
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