Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Mar. 2

The Arizona Diamondbacks (+140) visit Camelback Ranch to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-165) on Thursday, March 2, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 3:05pm EST in Phoenix.

The Dodgers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).

The Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Over/Under is 11 total runs for the game.

During Spring Training, the Diamondbacks are 1-2 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 2-2 ATS.

Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Thursday‘s Spring Training matchup with 65.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Diamondbacks and Dodgers and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Jake Hager has hit the Hits Over in 5 of his last 7 away games (+2.85 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Jake Hager has hit the Singles Over in 3 of his last 7 away games (+1.10 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Buddy Kennedy has hit the Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 away games (+0.95 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Carson Kelly has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 2 of his last 3 games (+0.90 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Jake Hager has hit the Runs Under in 2 of his last 3 away games (+0.50 Units / 7% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Trea Turner has hit the RBIs Over in his last 3 games at home (+5.85 Units / 195% ROI)
  • Hanser Alberto has hit the Runs Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Under in 4 of his last 6 games at home (+3.90 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Trea Turner has hit the Hits Over in 2 of his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 100% ROI)
  • Will Smith has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 77% ROI)

  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 61 of their last 84 games (+41.60 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 69 of their last 151 games (+34.15 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 89 of their last 151 games (+24.85 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 72 of their last 127 games (+10.60 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 39 of their last 69 games (+8.20 Units / 11% ROI)

  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 97 of their last 163 games (+25.80 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 26 of their last 37 games at home (+18.35 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 90 of their last 162 games (+17.65 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 67 of their last 93 games (+14.65 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 27 games (+7.80 Units / 26% ROI)

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 1-2 against the Run Line (-1.6 Units / -37.65% ROI).

  • 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -32.79% ROI
  • 2-1 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.85 Units / 25% ROI
  • 1-2 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.15 Units / -35.94% ROI

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 2-2 against the Run Line (+0.15 Units / 3.26% ROI).

  • 2-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.8 Units / -14.55% ROI
  • 3-1 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.9 Units / 42.22% ROI
  • 1-3 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.2 Units / -51.16% ROI

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Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Michael Grove allowed a slugging percentage of .478 (22 Total Bases / 46 ABs) with two-strikes over the last 30 days of the regular season (4 games) — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: .253 — third Percentile.

Michael Grove allowed an OPS of .738 (50 PA’s) with two-strikes over the last 30 days of the regular season (4 games) — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: .483 — fourth Percentile.

Michael Grove walked 2 of 54 left-handed batters (4%) over the last 30 days of the regular season (4 games) — 9th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 90th Percentile.

  
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