The Chicago Cubs (-105) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-115) on Thursday, March 28, 2024. First pitch is for this MLB matchup is scheduled for 7:35pm EDT in Arlington, TX.
Cubs vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Cubs vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Thursday‘s game with 51.1% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:
- Seiya Suzuki has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 35% ROI)
- Patrick Wisdom has hit the Singles Over in his last game (+1.75 Units / 175% ROI)
- Patrick Wisdom has hit the RBIs Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 36% ROI)
- Tucker Barnhart has hit the Runs Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 34% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Marcus Semien has hit the RBIs Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 42% ROI)
- Evan Carter has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 36% ROI)
- Bubba Thompson has hit the Runs Over in his last game at home (+2.05 Units / 205% ROI)
- Corey Seager has hit the Hits Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Josh Jung has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 38 of their last 66 games (+9.21 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 32 games (+8.75 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 57 of their last 100 games (+5.95 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 games (+0.05 Units / 1% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 96 of their last 171 games (+28.43 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 97 of their last 171 games (+26.15 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 102 of their last 171 games (+24.63 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 48 of their last 81 games at home (+18.35 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 49 of their last 81 games at home (+14.68 Units / 16% ROI)
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Justin Steele located 46% of his pitches inside (824/1,808) in non-two strike counts in the 2023 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Justin Steele located 45% of his pitches inside (324/715) on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.
Justin Steele located 49% of his pitches inside (1,033/2,100) against right-handed batters in the 2023 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Justin Steele located 43% of his pitches inside (1,150/2,678) in the 2023 season — highest among in NL; League Avg: 32% — 100th Percentile.
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Nathan Eovaldi allowed a BABIP of .230 vs left-handed batters in the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .293 — 97th Percentile.
Opponents had a line drive rate of just 15% (25/171) versus Nathan Eovaldi on non-fastballs in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 99th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters had a line drive rate of just 17% (33/194) against Nathan Eovaldi in the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 97th Percentile.
Nathan Eovaldi has an average spin rate of 2010.4 RPM on curveballs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 2529.5 — first Percentile.