The Chicago Cubs (+110) visit Scottsdale Stadium to take on the San Francisco Giants (-130) on Saturday, March 18, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Scottsdale.
The Giants are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+140).
The Cubs vs Giants Over/Under is 10.5 total runs for the game.
During Spring Training, the Cubs are 9-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 6-8 ATS.
Cubs vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Cubs vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Saturday‘s Spring Training matchup with 57.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cubs and Giants and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:
- Frank Schwindel has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 100% ROI)
- Frank Schwindel has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 45% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Nico Hoerner has hit the Hits Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Nelson Velazquez has hit the Singles Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Heliot Ramos has hit the Hits Under in his last 5 games (+5.20 Units / 87% ROI)
- Heliot Ramos has hit the Singles Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 47% ROI)
- Ford Proctor has hit the Singles Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 52% ROI)
- Brandon Crawford has hit the Runs Over in his last 2 games (+3.90 Units / 195% ROI)
- LaMonte Wade Jr has hit the Singles Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+3.35 Units / 84% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 48 of their last 85 games (+19.85 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 25 of their last 48 games (+17.45 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 65 of their last 108 games (+16.55 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 22 games (+16.35 Units / 65% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 40 of their last 70 away games (+10.05 Units / 13% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 45 of their last 77 games at home (+11.40 Units / 13% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 62 of their last 109 games (+10.00 Units / 8% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 35 games (+9.40 Units / 22% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 24 games (+8.80 Units / 29% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 27 games (+6.05 Units / 21% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 8-6 against the Run Line (+2.4 Units / 13.45% ROI).
- 9-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.9 Units / 10.3% ROI
- 4-10 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.85 Units / -41.9% ROI
- 10-4 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.6 Units / 33.63% ROI
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 6-8 against the Run Line (-2.75 Units / -14.95% ROI).
- 5-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.5 Units / -28.04% ROI
- 7-7 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.75 Units / -4.84% ROI
- 7-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.65 Units / -4.25% ROI
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Adrian Sampson induced opposing hitters to ground into 14 double plays in 61 opportunities (23%) last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 11% — 99th Percentile.
Adrian Sampson induced opposing hitters to ground into 7 double plays in 18 opportunities (39%) over the last 30 days of the regular season (6 games) — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 12% — 100th Percentile.
Adrian Sampson allowed an OPS of just .772 (92 PA’s) when he’s behind in the count last season — 7th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 1.038 — 95th Percentile.
Adrian Sampson had a strikeout rate of just 6% (6/106) in PAs ending on inside fastballs last season — 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 14% — fourth Percentile.
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Anthony DeSclafani has a strike rate of just 61% (550/900) in two strike counts since the start of the 2021 season — tied for 9th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 65% — seventh Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 14% (17/117) against Anthony DeSclafani on inside fastballs since the start of the 2021 season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 45% (88/195) against Anthony DeSclafani with two-strikes since the 2021 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 36% — 0 Percentile.