Will this be the week that the Philadelphia Eagles finally slip up? Probably not. However, the Commanders deserve more respect than the 10.5-point spread would indicate. They're 2-1 under Taylor Heinecke straight up and nearly pulled off an upset over expected NFC playoff team Minnesota Vikings. Despite losing both starting ILBs, they've actually gotten better defending the run. The Commanders are only giving up 21 rush attempts per game over the L3 (3rd overall), the fewest rushing first downs per game over the L3 (3.3), and 4th< /sup> fewest yards per attempt (3.6) over the L3. Jon Bostic and Jamon Davis will continue to man the middle on Monday night for Washington in hopes of slowing down this Philadelphia offense. The Eagles will be missing nickel CB Avonte Maddox and Josiah Scott will get the start. The Commanders will be welcoming back with open arms rookie WR Jahan Dotson, who has not played since Week 4.
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Curtis Samuel Over 40.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
With Jahan Dotson returning, I think it is a bump to Samuel's stock. Through the first 4 games with Dotson in the lineup, Samuel was on his way to the best season of his career. He averaged 54.7 YPG and 6 receptions per game in that span. He also scored twice through those first 4 games. The big play here is Josiah Scott stepping into that nickel CB role for Philadelphia, he's averaging a passer rating of 127.5 when targeted. Samuel has still hit this line in 3 straight games, but a little less attention from the defense should help get him more targets than the 5 per game he's been seeing of late. 1.5U