Final Four play concludes Wednesday night with the Colorado Buffaloes meeting the Boise State Broncos, and we have you covered with our top Colorado vs. Boise State prediction based on the best March Madness odds with the last spot in the field of 64 up for grabs.
The Colorado Buffaloes (24-10, 13-7 Pac-12) saw their eight-game winning streak end with a 75-68 loss to Oregon in the Pac-12 Tournament championship. However, despite the setback, this marks the Buffaloes' return to the NCAA Tournament for the first time since 2021.
The Boise State Broncos (22-10, 13-5 Mountain West) are among the minority of NCAA Tournament teams that stumbled in their opening conference tournament game. Nevertheless, despite this setback, the Broncos hold an impressive non-conference victory against Saint Mary's. They also emerged victorious against NCAA Tournament-caliber opponents in two of their last three regular-season matchups and have a road victory against San Diego State, a remarkable feat given the Aztecs' formidable 29-2 home record since 2022.
As part of our March Madness predictions, here is our best Colorado vs. Boise State prediction and college basketball picks (odds via our best March Madness betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Colorado vs. Boise State odds
Colorado (No. 10) vs. Boise State (No. 10) prediction: South Region
Best odds: -108 via DraftKings
On one hand, the Mountain West did incredibly well to get six teams into the NCAA Tournament. But most of those teams have claims to being underseeded, as does Boise State being given a No. 10 seed and relegated to a play-in game.
Few teams have better positional size on the wings than the Broncos, who used their length all season to defend the 3-point line at the 23rd-best rate nationally while finishing with a top-five defensive rebounding percentage.
Colorado won only one game away from home against an NCAA Tournament team, and that was against Oregon, which made a miraculous run in the Pac-12 Tournament to win the league's automatic bid.
Buffaloes' point guard KJ Simpson ranked in the top eight in league play in the percentage of his team's possession and shots taken, but the Broncos have the perfect foil for him in Roddie Anderson, who ranked third in the Mountain West in steal percentage and is one of the most harassing on-ball defenders Simpson will see all season.
After losing in its opening round of the Mountain West Tournament, Boise State will have two extra days of rest compared to Colorado, which played on Saturday in its conference championship. That is significant, as the Broncos went 6-4 ATS with a rest advantage, while the Buffaloes went 6-10 ATS in games outside of Boulder this season.
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Colorado vs. Boise State best odds
| DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars | bet365 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| +2.5 | +2.5 | +2.5 | +2.5 | +2.5 |
| -108 | -110 | -110 | -110 | -110 |
All five best sports betting sites offer +2.5. However, the pick of the crop is DraftKings, offering -108. With the -108 odds, a $10 wager would pay out $19.26. That's an implied probability of 51.92%.
FanDuel's odds shortened from -115 to -110 on Tuesday afternoon, while BetMGM, Caesars, and bet365 remained unchanged at -110. Four of the five best sports betting sites sit at -110.
We would pass on any number less than +2.5, so be sure to grab the two points with the hook while you can.
Colorado vs. Boise State spread & Over/Under analysis
As of Sunday night, the only recorded line movement from a point spread perspective was at BetMGM, which had its opening number of Colorado -1.5 bet quickly to -2.5. That movement aligns with the betting action, as 79% of the early wagers have backed the favored Buffaloes.
Colorado covered half of its 34 games this season, while Boise State is 16-13-1 ATS. All of our best sports betting apps offer an O/U of 140.5 or 140. The Over has cashed in 20 of Colorado's 34 games, while Boise State has an O/U record of 16-14.
Colorado vs. Boise State game info
- When: Wednesday, March 20
- Tip-off: 9:10 p.m. ET
- Where: UD Arena, Dayton, Ohio
- How to watch: truTV
Colorado-Boise State prediction made Monday at 6:32 a.m. ET.
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