The St. Louis Cardinals (+125) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-155) on Sunday, April 14, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Phoenix, AZ.

This season, the Cardinals are 6-7 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 8-5 ATS.

Cardinals vs Diamondbacks Starting Pitchers Today:

• Cardinals starting pitcher: Miles Mikolas 1-1, 4.86 ERA
• Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Zac Gallen 2-0, 2.25 ERA

Cardinals vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Cardinals vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 55.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Cardinals vs Diamondbacks and all games with BetMGM

$1500 First Bet Offer

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:

• Sonny Gray has hit the Earned Runs Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+8.00 Units / 46% ROI)
• Lance Lynn has hit the Strikeouts Under in 8 of his last 9 away games (+6.90 Units / 50% ROI)
• Miles Mikolas has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.90 Units / 40% ROI)
• Ivan Herrera has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.65 Units / 70% ROI)
• Ivan Herrera has hit the Runs Under in his last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 40% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Evan Longoria has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 17 games at home (+12.80 Units / 56% ROI)
• Merrill Kelly has hit the Earned Runs Under in 22 of his last 32 games (+9.65 Units / 22% ROI)
• Merrill Kelly has hit the Strikeouts Over in 21 of his last 33 games (+9.45 Units / 25% ROI)
• Zac Gallen has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 14 of his last 19 games at home (+8.70 Units / 33% ROI)
• Merrill Kelly has hit the Pitching Outs Over in his last 8 games (+8.20 Units / 85% ROI)

Cardinals Best Bets Today:

• The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 45 away games (+9.80 Units / 20% ROI)
• The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 45 away games (+9.13 Units / 18% ROI)
• The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 42 of their last 72 away games (+8.40 Units / 10% ROI)
• The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 11 away games (+6.85 Units / 57% ROI)
• The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 15 away games (+5.85 Units / 38% ROI)

Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:

• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 56 of their last 99 games (+14.00 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 63 games (+11.20 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 54 of their last 93 games (+10.82 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 61 games (+9.29 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 38 of their last 67 games at home (+7.75 Units / 9% ROI)

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 9-4 against the Run Line (+5.9 Units / 36.2% ROI).

• 6-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.15 Units / 1.05% ROI
• 4-7 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.45 Units / -24.38% ROI
• 7-4 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.8 Units / 19.38% ROI

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 8-5 against the Run Line (+2.65 Units / 16.83% ROI).

• 6-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.45 Units / -12.89% ROI
• 7-6 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.25 Units / 1.69% ROI
• 6-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.35 Units / -9.71% ROI

Diamondbacks vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Diamondbacks vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Diamondbacks vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today

Diamondbacks vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents had a miss rate of just 17% (265/1,590) against Miles Mikolas in the 2023 season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — second Percentile.

Opponents batted .225 (89-for-396) against Miles Mikolas with two-strikes in the 2023 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .162 — second Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 10% (3/29) against Miles Mikolas on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest among in NL; League Avg: 25% — fourth Percentile.

Opponents batted .282 (226-for-802) against Miles Mikolas in the 2023 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .239 — fourth Percentile.

Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Zac Gallen has a first-pitch strike rate of just 46% (30/66) this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — first Percentile.

Zac Gallen has a first-pitch strike rate of just 46% (30/66) this season — lowest among in NL; League Avg: 63% — second Percentile.

Zac Gallen has thrown his curveball 42% of the time (38/91) with two-strikes this season — highest among in NL; League Avg: 17% — 100th Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 59% (10/17) against Zac Gallen this season — 6th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 93rd Percentile.

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

  
Read Full Article