Browns vs. Texans best bets, picks and props | Week 16

The Houston Texans (8-6) meet the Cleveland Browns (9-5) at NRG Stadium on Sunday, December 24, 2023, and here are our best bets.

How to watch Browns vs. Texans

  • When: Sunday, December 24, 2023 at 1:00 PM ET
  • Where: NRG Stadium in Houston, Texas
  • TV Info: CBS
  • Live Stream: Watch on Fubo!

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Best against the spread pick

  • Pick ATS: Houston (+3)
  • Cleveland’s ATS record is 9-5-0 this season.
  • The Browns have been favored by 3 points or more three times this season and have covered the spread in two of them.
  • In 14 games played Houston has recorded seven wins against the spread.
  • So far this season, the Texans have been installed as underdogs by a 3-point margin or more five times and are 4-1 ATS in those games.

Best over/under pick

  • The Texans and their opponents have combined to score more than 40 points in six of 14 games this season.
  • The two teams combine to score 44 points per game, four more points than this matchup’s total.
  • Combined, these teams surrender 41.7 points per game, 1.7 more points than this matchup’s over/under.

Best moneyline bet

  • Moneyline: Browns (-150), Texans (+125)
  • Prediction:
    Cleveland 23 – Houston 20
  • Based on this game’s moneyline, the Browns have an implied win probability of 60.0%.
  • Cleveland has won 85.7% of the games this season when it was the moneyline favorite (6-1).
  • The Browns have played in three games as a moneyline favorite with odds of -150 or shorter and won every time.
  • This season, Houston has won five out of the eight games in which it has been the underdog.
  • This season, the Texans have won four of their five games when they’re the underdog by at least +125 on the moneyline.

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