The Atlanta Braves (-125) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (+105) on Friday, March 29, 2024. First pitch is for this MLB matchup is scheduled for 3:05pm EDT in Philadelphia, PA.
This season, the Braves are 0-0 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 0-0 ATS.
Braves vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Braves vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Friday‘s game with 53.0% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Braves vs Phillies and all games with BetMGM
$1500 First Bet Offer
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ozzie Albies has hit the Hits Under in 3 of his last 4 away games (+2.00 Units / 24% ROI)
- Braden Shewmake has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last game (+1.35 Units / 135% ROI)
- Sam Hilliard has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last away game (+1.25 Units / 125% ROI)
- Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit the RBIs Under in his last away game (+1.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the RBIs Under in his last away game (+1.00 Units / 39% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Singles Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 36% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the Hits Under in his last 2 games at home (+3.05 Units / 79% ROI)
- Garrett Stubbs has hit the Singles Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- Cristian Pache has hit the Runs Over in his last game at home (+2.10 Units / 210% ROI)
- Garrett Stubbs has hit the Runs Over in his last game at home (+2.05 Units / 205% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 91 of their last 157 games (+21.60 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 52 of their last 83 away games (+4.95 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in their last 4 games (+4.34 Units / 89% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 59 of their last 109 games (+3.45 Units / 3% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 73 of their last 118 games (+13.30 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 70 games (+11.85 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 26 of their last 42 games at home (+8.78 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+7.18 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 14 games (+6.21 Units / 41% ROI)
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a miss rate of 39% (635/1,644) against Spencer Strider in the 2023 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters had a miss rate of 42% (332/783) against Spencer Strider in the 2023 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents had a miss rate of 45% (135/299) against Spencer Strider on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents had a miss rate of 54% (351/653) against Spencer Strider on non-fastballs in the 2023 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zack Wheeler located 44% of his pitches inside (277/624) when ahead in the count in the 2023 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Zack Wheeler located 43% of his pitches inside (910/2,131) in non-two strike counts in the 2023 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 97th Percentile.
Zack Wheeler has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 75.2 MPH on pitches out of the zone since the 2022 season (189 balls in play) — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 80.6
Zack Wheeler located 40% of his pitches inside (1,246/3,155) in the 2023 season — 2nd highest among in NL; League Avg: 32% — 95th Percentile.