The Atlanta Braves (+110) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-135) on Saturday, August 6, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in Flushing, Queens.
The Mets are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The Braves vs Mets Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Braves are 64-43 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 57-49 ATS.
Braves vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Braves vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Saturday‘s matchup with 74.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Braves and Mets and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Mets vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Nimmo | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Daniel Vogelbach | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -650 |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -550 |
| Jeff McNeil | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Peter Alonso | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -275 |
Mets vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Nimmo | 1.5 +165 | 1.5 -250 |
| Daniel Vogelbach | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +120 |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +170 |
| Jeff McNeil | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +180 |
| Peter Alonso | 1.5 +180 | 1.5 -275 |
Mets vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Nimmo | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Daniel Vogelbach | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -250 |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -190 |
| Jeff McNeil | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -275 |
| Peter Alonso | 0.5 -115 | 0.5 -115 |
Mets vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| David Peterson | 5.5 +100 | 5.5 -140 |
| Odorizzi | 3.5 +105 | 3.5 -150 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Braves Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Positive Betting Trends for the Mets: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 55-52 against the Run Line (-1.95 Units / -1.44% ROI).
- 64-43 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.35 Units / 1.33% ROI
- 54-49 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.3 Units / 0.25% ROI
- 49-54 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.45 Units / -8.88% ROI
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 57-49 against the Run Line (+8.8 Units / 6.85% ROI).
- 67-39 when betting on the Moneyline for +15.75 Units / 10.09% ROI
- 55-45 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.35 Units / 4.55% ROI
- 45-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.9 Units / -12.85% ROI
Jacob Odorizzi: Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Max Fried has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 73.7 MPH on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season (141 balls in play) — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 133 total IP; League Avg: 80.3
39 of Max Fried’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches since the start of last season — 2nd most in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 133 total IP; League Avg: nan — 99th Percentile.
Max Fried has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 73.7 MPH on pitches out of the zone since the start of 2020 (162 balls in play) — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 163 total IP; League Avg: 80.2
Max Fried has allowed a slugging percentage of just .188 (46 Total Bases / 245 ABs) with two-strikes this season — 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .251 — 91st Percentile.
David Peterson: Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 35% (90/259) against Max Scherzer this season — 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 52 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 96th Percentile.
Max Scherzer has a strikeout rate of 35% (58 SO in 167 PAs) with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 133 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 97th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .191 (184-for-964) against Max Scherzer since the start of last season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 133 total IP; League Avg: .243 — 97th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 37% (402/1,076) against Max Scherzer since the start of last season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 133 total IP; League Avg: 26% — 97th Percentile.