Will the Los Angeles Clippers be able to snap their three-game losing streak and remain in the playoff picture in the Western Conference? Jon Metler shares three of his favorite NBA same-game parlays for Thursday's games using the latest NBA odds.
I'm not pointing any fingers here, but it's interesting, at least, that the Clippers are 0-3 with Russell Westbrook in the lineup. And they don't have much time to figure out the team chemistry because the Western Conference playoff picture is so tight.
Facing a desperate situation, I believe the Clippers will return to what they know best against the Golden State Warriors, and so I made a same-game parlay that reflects this narrative.
Here are our NBA SGP picks for Thursday (odds via FanDuel Sportsbook).
Thursday's NBA SGP picks
| Game | Props | Combined Odds |
| Raptors-Wizards | Poeltl Over 8.5 rebounds, Beal Over 23.5 points/Under 6.5 assists | +578 |
| 76ers-Mavericks | Doncic Under 32.5 points/8+ rebounds, Irving 25+ points | +533 |
| Clippers-Warriors | Leonard Over 25.5 points, Thompson Under 25.5 points, Westbrook Under 14.5 points | +563 |
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Clippers vs. Warriors odds
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NBA SGP predictions: Raptors vs. Wizards
Despite the markets' love of Poeltl's rebounding prop on Monday against the Bulls, he was only able to grab three rebounds and finished way Under the total. Are they going to steam him again on Thursday? While that remains to be seen, I would like to beat them to the punch as I have Poeltl priced at -135 to grab over 8.5 rebounds against the Wizards.
Beal's point prop fluctuated between 22.5 and 23.5 points Thursday morning. However, the Over 23.5 (-111) that's available at FanDuel actually represents a slightly more favorable line for us than the 22.5 (-135) at Dra ftKings based on our projection of 25.2 points for Beal. Since both the Over 23.5 (-111) and 25-plus points (+110) have a positive expected value of 6% on FanDuel, the 25-plus points can also be used in lieu of the Over 23.5.
There was a time this season (January, to be specific) when I was betting Beal to have over 4.5 assists at plus money. Beal has been crushing his assist prop of late to the Over and this is his first game with a total of 6.5. This is too high a total for Beal, especially on a night when we favor the Over on his points prop, since Beal usually goes over one or the other. I have Under 6.5 assists priced at -150 for Beal.
NBA SGP predictions: 76ers vs. Mavericks
Doncic is coming off a 39-point performance on his birthday, but last time I checked, March 2nd isn't his birthday as well. You're getting a superior price on the Under from FanDuel, as Caesars i s trading this prop at Under 31.5 (-111), which is the same juice, and one fewer point. I think the points total for Doncic should be 30.5, so you're getting an extra bucket here on the FanDuel line, and I have the Under 32.5 priced at -135.
If Doncic is staying under his points total, someone for the Mavericks must score, and I believe Irving will be the alpha on Thursday. It's projected that Irving will score 26.7 points, which means we can price Irving at -140 to score 25 or more points. Make sure you bet on the 25-plus points market, as Irving's total is also 24.5 points, but the Over is trading at -122. It's the exact same bet, except that you save seven cents on the juice.
FanDuel appears to be trying to outsmart the competition with this line, as we see DraftKings trading the Over 7.5 rebounds at -155 and BetMGM at -145. This prop should trade at -160, which is much closer to what Draf tKings thinks, as Doncic is projected to grab 8.7 rebounds.
NBA SGP predictions: Clippers vs. Warriors
The Clippers are on a three-game losing streak and need to win in order to stay in the race for a playoff spot in the Western Conference. What do you do in the NBA when you're on a losing streak? You lean on your best offensive player. Leonard is projected to score 27.7 points against the Warriors on Thursday, which means the Over 25.5 points should be trading at -135 instead of -113.
It will not be an enjoyable bet to follow by any means, but I believe that it's the correct side of the prop. Thompson will get his shots and this will be a sweat, but FanDuel has the best price on the market for the Under 25.5 points (-111), while other sportsbooks like Caesars have it at -123. Based on a projection of 24.4 points for Thompson, I have the Under 25.5 points priced at -135.&n bsp;
The only sportsbook trading Westbrook at 14.5 points is FanDuel, while others such as BetMGM, Caesars, and DraftKings have it at 15.5 points. No sweat: with our projection of 13.6 points for Westbrook, Under 14.5 points (-102) shows a positive expected value of 17%, while Under 15.5 (-135) at DraftKings shows a positive expected value of 14%. It's a better number even though it's one point fewer than the Westbrook totals available at other sportsbooks.
NBA player prop picks made 03/02/2023 at 9:00 a.m. ET.
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