Athletics vs Cubs Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Mar. 2

The Oakland Athletics (+115) visit Sloan Park to take on the Chicago Cubs (-140) on Thursday, March 2, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 3:05pm EST in Mesa.

The Cubs are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+140).

The Athletics vs Cubs Over/Under is 11.5 total runs for the game.

During Spring Training, the Athletics are 0-2 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 1-2 ATS.

Athletics vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Athletics vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Thursday‘s Spring Training matchup with 62.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Athletics and Cubs and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Athletics Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Chad Pinder has hit the Runs Over in 3 of his last 4 away games (+4.65 Units / 116% ROI)
  • Billy McKinney has hit the Singles Under in his last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Billy McKinney has hit the Runs Under in his last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Luis Barrera has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Cody Thomas has hit the Hits Under in 2 of his last 3 away games (+1.15 Units / 32% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Rafael Ortega has hit the Singles Over in his last 3 games (+4.05 Units / 135% ROI)
  • Frank Schwindel has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Christopher Morel has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.80 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Nick Madrigal has hit the Hits Over in 2 of his last 5 games (+0.90 Units / 18% ROI)

  • The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 22 of their last 35 games (+13.45 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 22 of their last 34 games (+10.90 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 47 of their last 79 away games (+9.00 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Under in 39 of their last 70 away games (+8.50 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 81 games (+8.45 Units / 10% ROI)

  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 48 of their last 85 games (+19.85 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 25 of their last 48 games (+17.45 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 50 of their last 85 games (+16.85 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 65 of their last 108 games (+16.55 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 22 games (+16.35 Units / 65% ROI)

Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 1-2 against the Run Line (-1.6 Units / -38.55% ROI).

  • 0-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.3 Units / -69.7% ROI
  • 2-1 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.9 Units / 26.47% ROI
  • 1-2 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.1 Units / -34.38% ROI

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 1-2 against the Run Line (-1.5 Units / -37.5% ROI).

  • 2-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • 2-2 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.3 Units / -6.52% ROI
  • 2-2 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.1 Units / -2.38% ROI

Opponents had a line drive rate of just 20% (42/212) versus JP Sears last season — tied for 10th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 94th Percentile.

33% of JP Sears’ strikeouts were looking last season — tied for 13th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 93rd Percentile.

JP Sears had a strikeout rate of 24% (17/71) in PAs ending on inside fastballs last season — tied for 10th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 14% — 93rd Percentile.

JP Sears has not allowed a home run in any of the last 17.0 innings he’s appeared — Jose Quintana has the longest active streak at 67.1.

Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Marcus Stroman threw his curveball 40% of the time (431/1,073) against right-handed batters last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total CB; League Avg: 15% — 98th Percentile.

Marcus Stroman has located his fastballs down 46% of the time (999/2,183) since the start of the 2021 season — 8th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 29% — 95th Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 55% (259/468) against Marcus Stroman since the start of the 2021 season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 96th Percentile.

  
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