The Houston Astros (-160) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (+135) on Thursday, November 3, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:03pm EDT in Philadelphia for this World Series game.
The Astros are betting favorites in this MLB postseason matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).
The Astros vs Phillies Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Astros are 115-58 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 91-84 ATS.
Astros vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Astros vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s World Series Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Thursday‘s World Series matchup with 52.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Astros and Phillies and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Phillies vs Astros and all MLB games with BetMGM
Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today, World Series
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Framber Valdez has hit the Strikeouts Over in 21 of his last 29 games (+13.50 Units / 41% ROI)
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 18 games (+11.75 Units / 30% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Runs Over in 36 of his last 66 games (+10.90 Units / 16% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+10.20 Units / 55% ROI)
- Framber Valdez has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 12 of his last 15 away games (+9.75 Units / 58% ROI)
Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today, World Series
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Rhys Hoskins has hit the Singles Under in 31 of his last 40 games (+15.70 Units / 22% ROI)
- Rhys Hoskins has hit the Total Bases Over in 39 of his last 63 games at home (+14.65 Units / 20% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 24 games (+13.45 Units / 54% ROI)
- Bryce Harper has hit the RBIs Over in 11 of his last 15 games at home (+12.60 Units / 84% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Under in 22 of his last 41 games (+11.30 Units / 21% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Astros Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 101 of their last 160 games (+30.75 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 98 of their last 171 games (+29.20 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 108 of their last 157 games (+26.25 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 85 of their last 154 games (+18.15 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 61 of their last 117 games (+7.90 Units / 6% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Phillies: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 77 of their last 127 games (+18.15 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 26 of their last 38 games at home (+12.08 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 68 of their last 119 games (+11.98 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 19 of their last 27 games at home (+10.65 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 35 of their last 61 games at home (+9.35 Units / 13% ROI)
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 92-81 against the Run Line (+13.8 Units / 6.76% ROI).
- 115-58 when betting on the Moneyline for +21.75 Units / 7.22% ROI
- 63-99 when betting on the total runs Over for -44.55 Units / -23.5% ROI
- 99-63 when betting on the total runs Under for +29.2 Units / 15.24% ROI
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 91-84 against the Run Line (+1.75 Units / 0.8% ROI).
- 97-78 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.15 Units / 2.06% ROI
- 89-79 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.35 Units / 1.21% ROI
- 79-89 when betting on the total runs Under for -17.6 Units / -9.17% ROI
Justin Verlander: Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .186 (116-for-625) against Justin Verlander this season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .233 — 100th Percentile.
Justin Verlander has a strike rate of 71% (609/852) in two strike counts this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — 95th Percentile.
Justin Verlander has allowed an OBP of just .227 (665 PA’s) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .288 — 100th Percentile.
Justin Verlander has allowed an OPS of just .497 (666 PA’s) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .664 — 100th Percentile.
Noah Syndergaard: Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Noah Syndergaard has had second base stolen on him 25 times this season — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Noah Syndergaard has allowed 30 stolen bases this season — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Noah Syndergaard has had third base stolen on him 5 times this season — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Hitters have chased just 49 of Noah Syndergaard’s 239 breaking balls down out of the zone (chase rate of 20%) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: 35% — first Percentile.