The Houston Astros (-115) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-105) on Wednesday, November 2, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:03pm EDT in Philadelphia for this World Series game.

The Astros are betting favorites in this MLB postseason matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).

The Astros vs Phillies Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Astros are 114-58 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 91-84 ATS.

Astros vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Astros vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s World Series Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Wednesday‘s World Series matchup with 53.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Astros and Phillies and up-to-date player injuries.

Bet now on Phillies vs Astros and all MLB games with BetMGM

Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today, World Series

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

• Framber Valdez has hit the Strikeouts Over in 21 of his last 29 games (+13.50 Units / 41% ROI)
• Jeremy Pena has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 17 games (+10.75 Units / 29% ROI)
• Framber Valdez has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 12 of his last 15 away games (+9.75 Units / 58% ROI)
• Alex Bregman has hit the Runs Over in 35 of his last 65 games (+9.50 Units / 14% ROI)
• Alex Bregman has hit the Total Bases Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+8.75 Units / 50% ROI)

Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today, World Series

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

• Rhys Hoskins has hit the Total Bases Over in 39 of his last 62 games at home (+15.85 Units / 22% ROI)
• Rhys Hoskins has hit the Singles Under in 30 of his last 39 games (+14.70 Units / 21% ROI)
• Bryce Harper has hit the RBIs Over in 11 of his last 14 games at home (+13.60 Units / 97% ROI)
• Alec Bohm has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 23 games (+12.45 Units / 53% ROI)
• Bryce Harper has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+11.80 Units / 91% ROI)

Phillies vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today

Phillies vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Phillies vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today

Phillies vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Positive Betting Trends for the Astros Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals

• The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 100 of their last 159 games (+29.75 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 97 of their last 170 games (+28.20 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 107 of their last 156 games (+25.25 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 84 of their last 153 games (+16.55 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 60 of their last 116 games (+6.90 Units / 5% ROI)

Positive Betting Trends for the Phillies: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals

• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 77 of their last 126 games (+19.30 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 26 of their last 37 games at home (+13.08 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 16 games at home (+11.85 Units / 60% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 19 of their last 26 games at home (+11.85 Units / 38% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 35 of their last 60 games at home (+11.15 Units / 16% ROI)

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 91-81 against the Run Line (+12.2 Units / 6.01% ROI).

• 114-58 when betting on the Moneyline for +20.75 Units / 6.92% ROI
• 63-98 when betting on the total runs Over for -43.55 Units / -23.1% ROI
• 98-63 when betting on the total runs Under for +28.2 Units / 14.81% ROI

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 91-84 against the Run Line (+1.75 Units / 0.8% ROI).

• 97-78 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.15 Units / 2.06% ROI
• 89-79 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.35 Units / 1.21% ROI
• 79-89 when betting on the total runs Under for -17.6 Units / -9.17% ROI

Cristian Javier: Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 21% (27/129) against Cristian Javier on sliders since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 42% — first Percentile.

Cristian Javier has struck out 38% (190/504) of right-handed batters he faced since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Cristian Javier has struck out 40% (104/263) of right-handed batters he faced this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 99th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 20% (21/103) against Cristian Javier’s curve and slider this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.

Aaron Nola: Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Aaron Nola has a first-pitch strike rate of 70% (582/836) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — 100th Percentile.

Aaron Nola has walked 7 of 299 batters (2%) versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.

Aaron Nola has walked 30 of 832 batters (4%) this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 97th Percentile.

Aaron Nola has a strike rate of 69% (2,174/3,140) this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — 95th Percentile.

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

  
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