The Houston Astros (-125) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (+105) on Tuesday, November 1, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:03pm EDT in Philadelphia for this World Series game.
The Astros are betting favorites in this MLB postseason matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Astros vs Phillies Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Astros are 114-57 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 91-84 ATS.
Astros vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Astros vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s World Series Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Tuesday‘s World Series matchup with 51.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Astros and Phillies and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Phillies vs Astros and all MLB games with BetMGM
Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today, World Series
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Framber Valdez has hit the Strikeouts Over in 21 of his last 29 games (+13.50 Units / 41% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Runs Over in 35 of his last 64 games (+10.50 Units / 16% ROI)
- Jose Altuve has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 17 away games (+10.20 Units / 32% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Total Bases Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+9.75 Units / 59% ROI)
- Framber Valdez has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 12 of his last 15 away games (+9.75 Units / 58% ROI)
Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today, World Series
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Rhys Hoskins has hit the Total Bases Over in 38 of his last 61 games at home (+14.85 Units / 21% ROI)
- Rhys Hoskins has hit the Singles Under in 29 of his last 38 games (+13.70 Units / 20% ROI)
- Bryce Harper has hit the RBIs Over in 10 of his last 13 games at home (+12.20 Units / 94% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 22 games (+11.35 Units / 50% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Under in 21 of his last 39 games (+11.05 Units / 21% ROI)
Phillies vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alec Bohm | 0.5 +850 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Brandon Marsh | 0.5 +1000 | 0.5 |
| Bryce Harper | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Bryson Stott | 0.5 +1000 | 0.5 -10000 |
| J.T. Realmuto | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1600 |
Phillies vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alec Bohm | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +160 |
| Brandon Marsh | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -145 |
| Bryce Harper | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +140 |
| Bryson Stott | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +100 |
| J.T. Realmuto | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +155 |
Phillies vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alec Bohm | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -350 |
| Brandon Marsh | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -550 |
| Bryce Harper | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -250 |
| Bryson Stott | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -400 |
| J.T. Realmuto | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -275 |
Phillies vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Lance McCullers Jr. | 4.5 -160 | 4.5 +115 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Astros Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 100 of their last 158 games (+30.75 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 96 of their last 169 games (+27.20 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 107 of their last 155 games (+26.50 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 84 of their last 152 games (+17.55 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 38 of their last 66 games (+7.95 Units / 10% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Phillies: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 76 of their last 125 games (+18.25 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 67 of their last 117 games (+12.13 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 25 of their last 36 games at home (+12.08 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 18 of their last 25 games at home (+10.85 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 34 of their last 59 games at home (+10.15 Units / 14% ROI)
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 91-80 against the Run Line (+13.2 Units / 6.53% ROI).
- 114-57 when betting on the Moneyline for +22 Units / 7.36% ROI
- 63-97 when betting on the total runs Over for -42.45 Units / -22.65% ROI
- 97-63 when betting on the total runs Under for +27.2 Units / 14.37% ROI
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 91-84 against the Run Line (+1.75 Units / 0.8% ROI).
- 97-78 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.15 Units / 2.06% ROI
- 89-79 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.35 Units / 1.21% ROI
- 79-89 when betting on the total runs Under for -17.6 Units / -9.17% ROI
Lance McCullers Jr.: Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Lance McCullers has thrown off-speed pitches 80% of the time (1,403/1,761) vs left-handed batters since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total NonFB; League Avg: 46% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 15% (53/357) against Lance McCullers since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 191 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Lance McCullers has thrown his curveball 49% of the time (869/1,761) vs left-handed batters since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total CB; League Avg: 19% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 19% (102/536) against Lance McCullers since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 99th Percentile.
Ranger Suarez: Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 14% (24/171) against Ranger Suarez with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 99th Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 54% of Ranger Suarez’s pitches (655/1,217) with two-strikes since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 61% — third Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 63% (98/156) against Ranger Suarez in two-strike counts this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 99th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 61% (149/245) against Ranger Suarez in two-strike counts since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 99th Percentile.