Throughout the Major League Baseball playoffs, I will provide a daily breakdown summarizing my thoughts on both futures and individual games for that day.
Below, I will address how to handle betting on these playoff series, whether on the series moneyline or a game-by-game basis, while using my daily MLB Model projections.
You can find my projections for every MLB game in the Action Network App (on both the PRO Projections tab and the game pages) and our Projections Hub (which you can bookmark).
You can also shop for the best lines on our odds page.
Using my projections, where can we find actionable value for Wednesday?
Series Moneyline Corner
First, let’s take a look at my updated projection for the 2022 World Series:
The Phillies came into this series as roughly a 40% underdog in my projections, and as low as 33.3% (+200) per the betting market. They have gained or lost between 15-18% toward their series win probability through each of the first three games.
If you don’t have Phillies’ futures, consider betting their series price at -136 (57.7% implied) or better before Game 4 (-140 at Caesars); you’ll need to wait for a slightly better number.