Arizona vs. UCLA Prediction, Picks & Odds: Love Will Lead Wildcats' Offense to Huge Night
Arizona vs. UCLA Prediction, Picks & Odds: Love Will Lead Wildcats' Offense to Huge Nightiv class=”bodyContent col-lg-9 mb-3″>

Our Arizona-UCLA prediction based on the best college basketball odds expects the Wildcats to produce a significant night offensively against the Bruins.

The Arizona Wildcats have been one of the best teams in college basketball during 2023-24, and they're currently among the favorites in the March Madness odds at our best sports betting sites. Tommy Lloyd's program and its explosive offense has been running through the Pac-12 with relative ease, and the team is projected as a No. 2 seed, according to Bracket Matrix.

The Wildcats sit second in our Pac-12 basketball conference odds and they could earn the No. 1 seed in the conference tournament. With Washington State still holding a shot at that slot, Arizona needs to bring its best against UCLA at Pauley Pavilion on Thursday.

To complement our college basketball best bets for Thursday, her e is our best Arizona vs. UCLA prediction and our college basketball picks (odds via our best March Madness betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Arizona vs. UCLA prediction

Best odds: -110 via FanDuel

Aside from two losses against Washington State, Arizona has been on another level against Pac-12 opponents. The Wildcats have been lighting up the scoreboard for much of the season with their offensive firepower, and they sit second in the country in points per game (90.3). Mick Cronin's Bruins play stingy defense and they move with a slow pace on offense, but Arizona still boasts the talent to push UCLA to its limit and top 77.5 points.

The Wildcats rank sixth in adjusted offensive efficiency, according to KenPom, and they're third in the country in offensive rate, per Evan Miya. They've been unstoppable in conference play too, w ith five players averaging double-digit points, including potential Pac-12 Player of the Year Caleb Love. Arizona has been registering 89 points per game in conference play while shooting a conference-best 49.6% from the floor.

To make matters tougher on UCLA, the Wildcats lead the Pac-12 in free-throw attempts (23.4) and are hitting 38.3% from three.

While the Bruins' defense has been limiting conference foes to just 67.7 points per game in 2023-24, they only rank 52nd in adjusted defensive efficiency and are struggling to defend the perimeter. UCLA is allowing opponents to shoot 36.5% from three in Pac-12 play, and the team has given up the fourth-most threes per game in the conference (7.9).

That's where Love can make his most significant impact. The North Carolina transfer is averaging 21.2 points per game against Pac-12 teams while shooting 39% from behind the arc on 8.1 attempts per game. With suppor t from Pelle Larson (13.3 points, 42.9% from three), Oumar Ballo down low (13.1 points), Keshad Johnson (11.9 points), and Kylan Boswell (40% from three), Arizona can push the Bruins around.

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Arizona vs. UCLA best odds

DraftKings FanDuel BetMGM Caesars bet365
Arizona Over 77.5 points Arizona Over 77.5 points N/A N/A Arizona Over 77.5 points
-120 -110 N/A N/A -125

This game is a great example of why price shopping is important. With Arizona's explosive offense, our best sports betting apps are on the same page about the Wildcats' team total, but there are very different prices. FanDuel offering Arizona's team total of 77.5 points at -110 is terrific value with the way Lloyd's squad has been playing.

Those -110 odds imply a win probability of 52.38%, according to our odds calculator. Our other best sportsbooks are posting reasonable prices, making FanDuel's odds stand out. We'd take the Over on the Wildcats' 77.5 line up to odds of -125, and make the same wager on Arizona's team total up to 79.5.

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Arizona vs. UCLA odds

Arizona vs. UCLA odds analysis

The Wildcats opened between 8.5- and 9.5-point favorites at our best live betting sites, and there's been little movement. DraftKings is featuring Arizona -9 at -105, which is the best value for Wildcats bettors, while BetMGM is posting the Bruins +9.5 for -115. Arizona is 19-10 against the spread in 2023-24, and the Bruins are 12-15-2. UCLA covered a 17.5-point spread when the two teams met earlier t his season. 

With Arizona's offense one of the best in the nation, the game total opened as high as 147 across our best sports betting apps. There's been minimal movement, with FanDuel offering the lowest total at 146.5, and BetMGM the highest at 147.5. The Wildcats are 15-14 to the Over this season, while UCLA is 12-17. The Over hit during the previous Arizona-UCLA game in 2023-24 on a total of 142.

Arizona vs. UCLA game info

  • When: Thursday, March 7 at 9:30 p.m. ET
  • Where: Pauley Pavilion, Los Angeles, CA
  • How to watch: ESPN

Arizona-UCLA prediction made Thursday at 10:10 a.m. ET.

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Related pages

  • Best Live Betting Sites | Best Sportsbook Promos (U.S. only)

  
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