The Los Angeles Angels (+105) visit Surprise Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-125) on Thursday, March 2, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 3:05pm EST in Surprise.
The Royals are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).
The Angels vs Royals Over/Under is 11.5 total runs for the game.
During Spring Training, the Angels are 4-1 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 4-1 ATS.
Angels vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Angels vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Thursday‘s Spring Training matchup with 60.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Angels and Royals and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today:
- Luis Rengifo has hit the Hits Under in his last 4 games (+5.90 Units / 79% ROI)
- Max Stassi has hit the Runs Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+4.60 Units / 115% ROI)
- Jo Adell has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 55% ROI)
- Jack Mayfield has hit the Hits Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 94% ROI)
- Jack Mayfield has hit the Singles Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 48% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the RBIs Over in his last 3 games at home (+5.70 Units / 190% ROI)
- Sebastian Rivero has hit the Singles Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.15 Units / 24% ROI)
- Maikel Garcia has hit the Singles Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 65% ROI)
- Sebastian Rivero has hit the Hits Under in 2 of his last 3 games at home (+1.15 Units / 35% ROI)
Angels Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Under in 73 of their last 118 games (+21.10 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 21 of their last 28 games (+13.95 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Under in 53 of their last 101 games (+7.75 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 37 games (+5.05 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 10 games (+1.25 Units / 12% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 40 games at home (+18.50 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 60 of their last 108 games (+15.50 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Over in 27 of their last 40 games at home (+13.45 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 43 games at home (+12.60 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 20 games at home (+10.50 Units / 45% ROI)
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 3-2 against the Run Line (+1.85 Units / 36.27% ROI).
- 4-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.7 Units / 38.57% ROI
- 2-3 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.4 Units / -24.78% ROI
- 3-2 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.9 Units / 16.67% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 4-1 against the Run Line (+3.4 Units / 50% ROI).
- 4-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.9 Units / 52.25% ROI
- 5-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +5 Units / 87.72% ROI
- 0-5 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.35 Units / -100% ROI
Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .110 (8-for-73) against Mike Mayers on inside fastballs since the start of 2020 — best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .248 — 100th Percentile.
Mike Mayers allowed an OPS of 1.733 (57 PA’s) when he’s behind in the count last season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 1.042 — first Percentile.
Mike Mayers allowed a slugging percentage of 1.136 (50 Total Bases / 44 ABs) when he was behind in the count last season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .551 — first Percentile.
Mike Mayers allowed a slugging percentage of .517 (104 Total Bases / 201 ABs) last season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .358 — 0 Percentile.