Angels vs Padres Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Mar. 7

The Los Angeles Angels (+105) visit Peoria Sports Complex to take on the San Diego Padres (-125) on Tuesday, March 7, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 3:10pm EST in Peoria.

The Padres are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).

The Angels vs Padres Over/Under is 11 total runs for the game.

During Spring Training, the Angels are 5-3 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 4-4 ATS.

Angels vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Angels vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Tuesday‘s Spring Training matchup with 65.3% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Angels and Padres and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Luis Rengifo has hit the Hits Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+4.90 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Jo Adell has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Mike Trout has hit the RBIs Over in 3 of his last 5 away games (+2.75 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Taylor Ward has hit the RBIs Under in 4 of his last 5 away games (+1.60 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Juan Lagares has hit the Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 games (+0.50 Units / 10% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Austin Nola has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+4.05 Units / 71% ROI)
  • Jake Cronenworth has hit the Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+3.50 Units / 70% ROI)
  • Jurickson Profar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 7 of his last 12 games (+2.35 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Manny Machado has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 7 of his last 12 games (+2.15 Units / 16% ROI)

  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Under in 73 of their last 118 games (+21.10 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 21 of their last 28 games (+13.95 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Under in 53 of their last 101 games (+7.75 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 37 games (+5.05 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 10 games (+1.25 Units / 12% ROI)

  • The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 45 of their last 79 games at home (+15.05 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 20 of their last 32 games at home (+8.00 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.60 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 30 games (+6.00 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 22 of their last 37 games (+5.70 Units / 13% ROI)

Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 5-4 against the Run Line (+1.3 Units / 12.21% ROI).

  • 5-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.7 Units / 15.04% ROI
  • 3-6 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.65 Units / -36.5% ROI
  • 6-3 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.8 Units / 28.43% ROI

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Padres have gone 4-4 against the Run Line (-0.25 Units / -2.55% ROI).

  • 3-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.25 Units / -24.06% ROI
  • 3-4 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.3 Units / -14.53% ROI
  • 4-3 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.9 Units / 10.4% ROI

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Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Seth Lugo allowed a batting average of .279 vs right-handed batters (10th worst)– ninth Percentile and just .165 vs left-handed batters last season (tied for ninth best among qualified RPs)– 91st Percentile.

Left-handed batters hit just .165 (17-for-103) against Seth Lugo last season — tied for 9th best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .227 — 91st Percentile.

Right-handed batters batted .279 (41-for-147) against Seth Lugo last season — 10th highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .226 — 10th Percentile.

  
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