College Football Regression Report: Turnovers can turn on a dime
College Football Regression Report: Turnovers can turn on a dime

Turnovers may not define a team, but they can define a season. 

Personnel changes in college football can lead to a lot of variance from year to year in terms of turnovers — for both the offense and the defense. Sweeping scheme changes occur as coaches come in and out, and fixtures at key positions move on with their lives and careers.

Some teams are simply more adept at forcing turnovers, and some teams are definitely more prone to turning the ball over based on how they run their offense. Still, there are some outliers that are likely to regress from one year to the next, something you want to factor into your handicapping as a new season looms on the horizon.

Negative Turnover Regression

Nevada Wolf Pack: Nevada has a new coaching staff as Jay Norvell went to Colorado State. The Wolf Pack led the nation in turnover margin last season at + 16 (27 takeaways against 11 giveaways), but things are likely to change in a big way in Reno.

  
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By VSiN