Week 13 of the 2022 NFL season kicks off with an AFC East matchup on Thursday Night Football between the Buffalo Bills and New England Patriots. With both teams featuring strong defenses, points might be hard to come by on a cold night in Foxborough.
Here are three of the best prop bets for the Bills vs Patriots matchup, courtesy of'NFL odds'on FanDuel Sportsbook.
Bills vs Patriots TNF Prop Bets Tonight
1. Rhamondre Stevenson – Rushing Yards: Over 63.5 (-113)
Rhamondre Stevenson is set to lead New England's backfield with Damien Harris (thigh) already ruled out for this contest. That means he'll see plenty of volume in the Patriots' run-heavy scheme, as he's already logged at least 15 carries in five of his last seven games. He's been pretty efficient this year with 4.5 yards per carry, which means he should only need 14 or 15 carries to hit the over here. With New England likely to keep the ball on the ground and control time of possession as much as possible, Stevenson should be in for a busy night.
2. Stefon Diggs – Receiving Yards: Under 84.5 (-113)
Stefon Diggs is awesome, but the Patriots have done a good job containing him lately, holding him to 85 receiving yards or less in their last three games against him (65.3 YPG). Diggs has gone under this yardage prop in each of the last two weeks and has a tough road matchup here against a defense that's allowing the ninth-fewest passing yards per game. Bill Beli chick also loves to take away an opponent's best weapon, which is clearly Diggs in this case.
3. Mac Jones – Passing Touchdowns: Under 1.5 (-210)
The odds are steep on this one, so it might be better suited for a parlay than a straight bet. Either way, it's worth the juice. Mac Jones has thrown multiple passing touchdowns just once in eight games this year. With only 6 passing TDs so far, he isn't even averaging one passing score per game, let alone two. The Patriots have been one of the worst teams in the red zone all season long and will likely have to settle for field goals against a defense that's allowing the fifth-fewest points per game (18.1).