We have finally made it, folks. March Madness is upon us, and there is no better week in sports than the one leading up to the first tip on Thursday. Here at BettingPros, you can find everything needed to fill out your bracket and place some money-making bets.
Here is your primer for the Midwest Region.
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2023 NCAA Tournament Midwest Betting Primer
Odds to make the Final Four: +160
Strengths: Can I say everything? Ranking 11th in adjusted offensive efficiency and fourth in defensive efficiency, this is the most consistent of all consistent teams. They have some incredibly talented players in Marcus Sasser, Jamal Shead, and Jarace Walker, with Shead and Sasser making up arguably the best backcourt in the tournament. This team can rebound, score in every which way and defend the perimeter at one of the best clips in the nation.
Weakness: Houston just spent the past month and a half facing almost exclusively sub-100 ranked teams within their conference. But despite a weaker strength of schedule, they still have wins over Virginia and Saint Mary's and competed against Alabama. They play a physical game, so the potential for getting into foul trouble is there, and Houston doesn't exactly have the most depth.'
X-Factor: Not only is Sasser the X-Factor for this team but arguably the most important player in the entire field. If he is fully healthy, Houston is a clear championship-caliber team, maybe one of two in the top-tier choices with Alabama. Without Sasser on the court, this team's ceiling is capped at the Elite 8, if that. We saw them get handled when Sasser was not on the court in the AAC title game. It does seem like that was more of a precaution, but it's still a worry.
Prediction: Houston is my champion selection if Sasser is healthy, which it seems like he is. If not, Elite 8.
Odds to make the Final Four: +300
Strengths: Texas is another team that enters the tourney ranking in the top 20 in both offensive and defensive efficiency. They have a fast pace with an incredible transition offense that will beat nearly any team to the hoop. Their defensive turnover rate ranks 19th in the nation, and they had one of the best strengths of schedule all season.
Weaknesses: Foul trouble. The four games with the highest opponent free throw rate for Texas all resulted in losses. They have to be better at staying out of foul trouble to advance.
X-Factor: Timmy Allen. Despite not necessarily being the best player on the team, Allen is one of them, and if Texas has to play the tournament without him, that may cap Texas' ceiling.
Prediction: Elite 8
Odds to make the Final Four: +700
Strengths: Offense. With one of the fastest paces in the nation and a top-five shooting from beyond the arc, Xavier can catch fire in a game and in this tournament as a whole. They've taken down and faced off against some solid teams, as their dynamic looks are tough to defend from any angle.
Weaknesses: Defense. Ranking 70th in KenPom defensive efficiency, the Musketeers can be like swiss cheese at times, allowing many points to teams like DePaul and Butler. If their offense struggles in any game, they better watch out because they'll be on upset alert, especially against some of these better defensive teams.
X-Factor: Perimeter shooting. Despite their preference for the interior look, Xavier needs to take advantage of the sharpshooters on their team to make a deep run. Without Zach Freemantle, the rest of the team will seriously have to step up.
Prediction: Round of 32
Odds to make the Final Four: +1200
Strengths: Interior offense. Scoring at a 53% clip from inside the arc, Indiana gets over 60% of their points from inside the arc, ranking sixth highest in the nation. Their 27th-ranked offense can be deadly at how consistent it is, and they have faced some tough front courts this season.
Weaknesses: Perimeter defense and forcing turnovers. Any sharp shooting team will get a lot of looks against Indiana with their 43rd adjusted defensive efficiency.'
X-Factor: Trayce Jackson-Davis. One of the most impactful players in this region has to step up for the Hoosiers if they want to make a run. Jalen Hood-Schifinio is a close y-factor, but TJD is the man down low. Indiana goes where he goes.
Prediction: First round
Odds to make the Final Four: +1400
Strengths: Offense. Ranking 12th in offensive efficiency, Miami is essentially a Xavier lite with how fast they run their offense with the preference for an interior look despite some sharpshooters that can light it up from deep.
Weaknesses: Defense, especially on the interior, and depth. Miami's 132nd-ranked adjusted defense is one of the worst among at-large teams. They allow a lot of points on the inside and don't exactly have the size to combat that.
X-Factor: Norchad Omier. With his injury status in the air, Miami won't make it that far without him. As Evan Miya pointed out, if Omier is out, Miami drops in team rating from 38th to 63rd. He is an incredibly impactful player.
Prediction: First round
Odds to make the Final Four: +1000
Strengths: Lockdown defense. Ranking eighth in adjusted defensive efficiency, any team unfamiliar with how Iowa State plays will be in for a rough ride. Especially considering how Mississippi State or Pittsburgh will be on a quick turnaround, the Cyclones might feast with all the turnovers they force.
Weaknesses: Offense. Generally speaking, having a top-25 offense is a recipe for a championship-ready team. Iowa State ranks 96th. They don't take care of the ball well or get to the hoop at a high clip. While rebounding well, they have to do better at showing up offensively.'
X-Factor: Offensive glass. As I said, I trust their defense, but their offense is questionable. They must be vicious on the glass to make up for an inefficient offense if they want to succeed.
Prediction: Sweet 16
Odds to make the Final Four: +1800
Strengths: Recent play. Since Jan. 1, Texas A&M ranks sixth in the nation on Bart Torvik. They consistently draw contact and rank sixth in the nation at offensive rebound percentage. They have an all-around talented roster and should be a fun team to watch.
Weaknesses: Perimeter defense. Opponents score nearly 37& of their points from beyond the arc against the Aggies, which does not bode well as they face Penn State. They also can get into foul trouble easily, with one of the highest defensive free-throw rates in the nation
X-Factor: Wade Taylor. The Aggies guard has been a bit out of the spotlight considering the other guards within the SEC, but Taylor has to step up as a take-over option for Texas A&M when they inevitably find themselves in a close game late.
Prediction: First round
Odds to make the Final Four: +2000
Strengths: Offense. This seems to be a trend for many teams in this region, but Iowa's third-ranked adjusted offense means they are never out of any game with their ability to go on runs. They take care of the ball well and rebound at a high clip, so a lot of points should go their way.
Weaknesses: Defense. All around, Iowa is a sub-par defense across the board, allowing opponents to shoot from the perimeter at a 36.6% clip, ranking 316th in the nation. Any above-average offense will nearly be able to score at will against Iowa.
X-Factor: Kris Murray. Keegan Murray's younger brother finds himself in the spotlight with fewer expectations than the Hawkeyes at this time last year. Still, Murray has room to improve and is capable of taking over a game if needed, and he can really do it all
Prediction: First round
Odds to make the Final Four: +1500
Strengths: Perimeter defense. Auburn forces teams to shoot sub-30% from beyond the arc, ranking fifth lowest in the nation. It will be incredibly difficult for any opponents to get good looks from deep.
Weaknesses: Foul trouble and defensive rebounding. Auburn allows opponents to reach the charity stripe at one of the highest clips in the nation. They also allow a lot of second-chance looks to opponents. Offensively, their perimeter shooting lacks as well.
X-Factor: Homecourt advantage. With their first two games being played in Alabama, Auburn basically gets to play at home as their fans will travel. This benefits Auburn more than other teams as they rally at home way more than most of their counterparts. Their energetic play style will feed off their fans if the Tiger faithful travel well.
Prediction: Round of 32
Odds to make the Final Four: +3500
Strengths: Perimeter shooting. The Nittany Lions shoot at the ninth-best clip from beyond the arc in the nation. They take care of the ball well and frequently get looks up each possession.
Weaknesses: Depending on the perimeter look, offensive rebounding. Over 43% of their points come from beyond the arc, the second highest in the nation. Any perimeter-based defense Penn State faces will feast, and if they are off-shooting one game, they don't have much ability to score in other ways.
X-Factor: Jalen Pickett. Pickett is arguably the biggest X-Factor out there, ranking as Evan Miya's most indispensable player on any team. His ability to draw in opponents before kicking it out is undisputed and a big reason for his third-highest assist rate. Where he goes, Penn State goes.
Prediction: Round of 32
Odds to make the Final Four: +5000
Strengths: Interior defense. On KenPom, Mississippi State ranks sixth in adjusted defensive efficiency, but their pack line defense allows nearly nothing down low. On the perimeter, they are solid, but that's where a high percentage of opponents’ looks come from. The Bulldogs will force turnovers and cause issues for opposing offenses.