Virginia vs. Louisville Prediction, Preview, and Odds – 11-9-2023

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An ACC battle is hitting televisions on Thursday night when the Virginia Cavaliers (2-7; 6-3-0 ATS) and #13 Louisville Cardinals (8-1; 5-3-1 ATS) face off. This game is scheduled to start at 7:30 p.m. EDT in Cardinal Stadium. Louisville won last year, but the two prior meetings went to the Cavaliers. Who will walk away victorious this time? There's only one way to find out.

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After upsetting a ranked UNC on the road and forcing overtime in Miami the next week, the Cavaliers appeared to be red-hot (relatively). Then, they returned home to face Georgia Tech and got demolished. That 45-17 loss begins with the defense allowing 514 yards without committing a turnover. Virginia is up to 395.4 yards allowed every week (second-most in the ACC). That game also put them in last place conference-wide with 32.4 points against per game. The Cavaliers give up 180.3 rushing yards per game (4.8 per carry) while surrendering the other 215.1 yards through the air. Eight of Virginia's nine opponents have reached at least 20 points. Four of those nine scored more than 35. Getting stops is a struggle for the Cavaliers. 

Last weekend& #39;s results were also concerning because Virginia only mustered 351 yards against a Georgia Tech defense giving up 455.2 per game. That lofty number is after Virginia brought it down. Three turnovers also limited the Cavaliers' output to 17 points. Malik Washington was fantastic again, catching 11 passes for 109 yards. He's averaging 126.9 yards and 9.4 receptions per game in Virginia's last eight contests. However, six different rushes only combined for 119 yards after 29 carries. It's right in line with their season average of 120.2 rushing yards per game, the second-fewest in the ACC. Considering the team's quarterbacks have combined for 12 interceptions, an ACC-worst this season, they need more than that on the ground. Averaging 23.1 points per game has been hard-earned for Virginia this year, and Thursday won't be any easier.  

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