Last season, Cooper Kupp accumulated 1,947 receiving yards and was named the NFL Offensive Player of the Year. We have created a small cheat sheet containing all of this year's receiving yardage odds.
Several of our top-rated sportsbooks have posted season-long totals on player props in advance of the NFL season. To see if there are any significant gaps between the projections and the betting markets, I decided to cross-reference these totals with the projections from Fantasy Pros, ESPN, and Pro Football Focus. To help the sportsbooks combat potential injuries, many of the projections will be higher than the totals.
The following are some of the players who stand out to me after comparing their projections to their player prop totals for the upcoming season.
2022 NFL Receiving Yards Lines
| Players | Projections via Fantasy Pros, ESPN and PFF | Total via DraftKings Sportsbook | Difference |
| Justin Jefferson | 1,488 | 1350.5 | +137.5 |
| Cooper Kupp | 1,487 | 1300.5 | +186.5 |
| Ja'Marr Chase | 1,379 | 1250.5 | +128.5 |
| CeeDee Lamb | 1,231 | 1175.5 | +55.5 |
| Stefon Diggs | 1,233 | 1200.5 | +32.5 |
| Mike Evans | 1,132 | 1025.5 | +106.5 |
| Davante Adams | 1,238 | 1200.5 | +37.5 |
| D.J. Moore | 1,174 | 1075.5 | +98.5 |
| Tyreek Hill | 1,145 | 1025.5 | +119.5 |
| Tee Higgins | 1,157 | 975.5 | +181.5 |
| A.J. Brown | 1,114 | 102 5.5 | +88.5 |
| Deebo Samuel | 1,051 | 950.5 | +100.5 |
| Gabriel Davis | 997 | 875.5 | +121.5 |
| Mike Williams | 1,051 | 1000.5 | +50.5 |
| Terry McLaurin | 1,080 | 1000.5 | +79.5 |
| Brandin Cooks | 1,074 | 950.5 | +123.5 |
| Michael Pittman Jr. | 1,085 | 1025.5 | +59.5 |
| Tyler Lockett | 996 | 850.5 | +145.5 |
| Keenan Allen | 1,048 | 1050.5 | -2.5 |
| Diontae Johnson | 972 | 1000.5 | -28.5 |
| Adam Thielen | 827 | 750.5 | +76.5 |
| Allen Robinson II | 906 | 825.5 | +80.5 |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown | 896 | 850.5 | +45.5 |
| Brandon Aiyuk | 799 | 775.5 | +23.5 |
| Christian Kirk | 882 | 825.5 | +56.5 |
| Chris Olave | 811 | 719.5 | +91.5 |
| Darnell Mooney | 1,029 | 950.5 | +78.5 |
| Dallas Goedert | 752 | 700.5 | +51.5 |
| Dalton Schultz | 746 | 725.5 | +20.5 |
| Dawson Knox | 585 | 550.5 | +34.5 |
| DeVonta Smith | 880 | 875.5 | +4.5 |
| DeVante Parker | 666 | 695.5 | -29.5 |
| Elijah Moore | 885 | 800.5 | +84.5 |
| George Kittle | 927 | 825.5 | +101.5 |
| Hunter Renfrow | 848 | 800.5 | +47.5 |
| Jahan Dotson | 757 | 611.5 | +145.5 |
| Jaylen Waddle | 934 | 925.5 | +8.5 |
| Jerry Jeudy | 971 | 905.5 | +65.5 |
| Ju Ju Smith- Schuster | 792 | 750.5 | +41.5 |
| Julio Jones | 543 | 550.5 | -7.5 |
| Mark Andrews | 1,120 | 1000.5 | +119.5 |
| Michael Thomas | 903 | 800.5 | +102.5 |
| Rashod Bateman | 943 | 850.5 | +92.5 |
| Robert Woods | 804 | 800.5 | +3.5 |
| Skyy Moore | 650 | 680.5 | -30.5 |
| T.J. Hockenson | 663 | 700.5 | -37.5 |
| Travis Kelce | 1,187 | 1,100.5 | +86.5 |
| Tyler Boyd | 765 | 795.5 | -30.5 |
| Zach Ertz | 615 | 625.5 | -10.5 |
| Noah Fant | 613 | 580.5 | +32.5 |
| Pat Freiermuth | 528 | 555.5 | -27.5 |
Total Receiving Yards: Best Bets
- Higgins Over 1000.5 yards (-112 via FanDuel)
- Johnson Under 1000.5 yards (-115 via DraftKings)
It is clear that there is a substantial gap between Cincinnati Bengals wide receiver Tee Higgins' projections and his betting total for receiving yards, 181.5 yards to be exact. Even though the total is lower at DraftKings Sportsbook (975.5 yards), I will be placing this bet at FanDuel, where it is slightly higher at 1000.5 yards. The Over at DraftKings is trading at -135 and I do not believe that the additional 23 cents of juice is worth the extra 25 yards.