Rangers vs Phillies Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 22
Rangers vs Phillies Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 22

The Texas Rangers (+145) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-175) on Wednesday, May 22, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Philadelphia, PA.

This season, the Rangers are 24-25 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 28-21 ATS.

Rangers vs Phillies Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Rangers starting pitcher: Dane Dunning 3-2, 4.14 ERA
  • Phillies starting pitcher: Taijuan Walker 3-0, 4.99 ERA

Rangers vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Rangers vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 52.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Corey Seager has hit the Runs Under in 24 of his last 33 games (+13.40 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Leody Taveras has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 away games (+12.00 Units / 200% ROI)
  • Corey Seager has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 27 games (+10.95 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Adolis Garcia has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 21 games (+9.95 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Marcus Semien has hit the RBIs Over in 10 of his last 19 away games (+7.40 Units / 39% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Alec Bohm has hit the RBIs Over in 23 of his last 40 games (+17.80 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Bryson Stott has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 games (+17.00 Units / 243% ROI)
  • Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 23 of his last 30 games (+14.20 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Alec Bohm has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 30 games (+13.20 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 30 games (+12.30 Units / 26% ROI)

  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 45 games (+9.45 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 10 games (+7.85 Units / 65% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 22 away games (+3.55 Units / 14% ROI)

  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Over in 28 of their last 32 games (+23.60 Units / 61% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 33 games (+18.30 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 26 of their last 34 games (+18.10 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 25 of their last 32 games (+17.55 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 30 games (+14.00 Units / 38% ROI)

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 19-30 against the Run Line (-14.1 Units / -22.98% ROI).

  • 24-25 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.1 Units / -12.51% ROI
  • 19-28 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.8 Units / -21.87% ROI
  • 28-19 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.2 Units / 13.37% ROI

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 28-21 against the Run Line (+8.55 Units / 14.42% ROI).

  • 35-14 when betting on the Moneyline for +14.85 Units / 18.29% ROI
  • 24-22 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.2 Units / -0.37% ROI
  • 22-24 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.6 Units / -8.52% ROI

Phillies vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Kyle Schwarber (PHI) 0.5 +250 0.5 -350
Bryce Harper (PHI) 0.5 +260 0.5 -350
J.T. Realmuto (PHI) 0.5 +270 0.5 -350
Adolis Garcia (TEX) 0.5 +300 0.5 -375
Corey Seager (TEX) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550

Phillies vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Bryce Harper (PHI) 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Nate Lowe (TEX) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Bryson Stott (PHI) 0.5 -250 0.5 +195
Adolis Garcia (TEX) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Nick Castellanos (PHI) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165

Phillies vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Bryce Harper (PHI) 0.5 +130 0.5 -165
Alec Bohm (PHI) 0.5 +130 0.5 -165
Adolis Garcia (TEX) 0.5 +135 0.5 -185
J.T. Realmuto (PHI) 0.5 +135 0.5 -175
Nick Castellanos (PHI) 0.5 +145 0.5 -190

Phillies vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jon Gray (TEX) 5.5 -105 5.5 -120
Ranger Suarez (PHI) 5.5 +115 5.5 -150

Dane Dunning has a first-pitch strike rate of just 48% (73/153) this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 18 total IP; League Avg: 63% — 0 Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .119 (7-for-59) against Dane Dunning when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 18 total IP; League Avg: .233 — 97th Percentile.

Dane Dunning has allowed an OBP of just .175 (63 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 18 total IP; League Avg: .299 — 98th Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a miss rate of 36% (45/125) against Dane Dunning this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 18 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 97th Percentile.

Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .450 (9 GB hits out of 20 GBs) against Taijuan Walker this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 18 total IP; League Avg: .240 — 0 Percentile.

Hitters have chased just 140 of Taijuan Walker’s 713 breaking balls out of the zone (chase rate of 20%) since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 147 total IP; League Avg: 32% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of just 34% (242/712) against Taijuan Walker on low breaking pitches since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 147 total IP; League Avg: 46% — 0 Percentile.

Hitters have chased just 99 of Taijuan Walker’s 469 breaking balls down out of the zone (chase rate of 21%) since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 147 total IP; League Avg: 35% — 0 Percentile.

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

  
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